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Conversion of Shipping Fleets from Diesel to Compressed Natural Gas: A Real Options Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Xian, Hui
  • Colson, Gregory J.
  • Karali, Berna
  • Wetzstein, Michael

Abstract

This study incorporates Real Options to determine the conditions under which it would be profitable for a regional shipping company to consider CNG (Compressed Natural Gas) as opposed to conventional diesel for the heavy-duty truck fleets. Such analysis can avoid the shipping industry adopting alternative energies, which are feasible under net present value (NPV) but infeasible in terms of market conditions. Ultimately, given fuel price patterns, our model could indicate an optimal selection of fuels, which provides some guidelines for a regional heavy-duty truck fleet company to make fuel selections and policy implications for government incentives about alternative fuels.

Suggested Citation

  • Xian, Hui & Colson, Gregory J. & Karali, Berna & Wetzstein, Michael, 2014. "Conversion of Shipping Fleets from Diesel to Compressed Natural Gas: A Real Options Analysis," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170285, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaea14:170285
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.170285
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    2. Markéta Mikolajková-Alifov & Frank Pettersson & Margareta Björklund-Sänkiaho & Henrik Saxén, 2019. "A Model of Optimal Gas Supply to a Set of Distributed Consumers," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(3), pages 1-27, January.
    3. Martin, Jonas & Golab, Antonia & Durakovic, Goran & Zwickl-Bernhard, Sebastian & Auer, Hans & Neumann, Anne, 2024. "Modeling cost-optimal fuel choices for truck, ship, and airplane fleets: The impact of sustainability commitments," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
    4. Chen, Siyuan & Zhang, Qi & Wang, Ge & Zhu, Lijing & Li, Yan, 2018. "Investment strategy for underground gas storage facilities based on real option model considering gas market reform in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 132-142.
    5. Rodrigo Galbieri & Thiago Luis Felipe Brito & Dominique Mouette & Hirdan Katarina Medeiros Costa & Edmilson Moutinho dos Santos & Murilo Tadeu Werneck Fagá, 2018. "Bus fleet emissions: new strategies for mitigation by adopting natural gas," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 23(7), pages 1039-1062, October.
    6. Josifovic, Aleksandar & Roberts, Jennifer J. & Corney, Jonathan & Davies, Bruce & Shipton, Zoe K., 2016. "Reducing the environmental impact of hydraulic fracturing through design optimisation of positive displacement pumps," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 115(P1), pages 1216-1233.
    7. Girma T. Chala & Abd Rashid Abd Aziz & Ftwi Y. Hagos, 2018. "Natural Gas Engine Technologies: Challenges and Energy Sustainability Issue," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-44, October.

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q42 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Alternative Energy Sources

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