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Improved Efficiency in Generalized Poisson Hurdle Model Estimation Using Restricted and Shrinkage Methods

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  • Hayder Hasan Rahmah Al-Gharrawi
  • Hossein Bevrani
  • Basim Shlaibah Msallam

Abstract

This paper investigates the use of shrinkage estimators in the generalized Poisson hurdle (GPH) model for count data analysis. The GPH model effectively handles data with both excess zeros and over‐ or underdispersion. We propose shrinkage estimators to improve parameter estimation in this model and analyze their asymptotic properties, including biases and risks. An extensive comparison through Monte Carlo simulations evaluates the efficacy of the suggested estimators against the maximum likelihood estimator, employing a simulated relative efficiency criterion. In addition, we apply the estimators to two real‐world datasets. Our findings illustrate that the suggested shrinkage estimators yield superior results compared to the traditional maximum likelihood estimator.

Suggested Citation

  • Hayder Hasan Rahmah Al-Gharrawi & Hossein Bevrani & Basim Shlaibah Msallam, 2025. "Improved Efficiency in Generalized Poisson Hurdle Model Estimation Using Restricted and Shrinkage Methods," Journal of Mathematics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 2025(1).
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:jjmath:v:2025:y:2025:i:1:n:3104487
    DOI: 10.1155/jom/3104487
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Cameron,A. Colin & Trivedi,Pravin K., 2013. "Regression Analysis of Count Data," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9781107667273, Enero-Abr.
    2. Seyed Ehsan Saffari & Robiah Adnan & William Greene, 2013. "Investigating the impact of excess zeros on hurdle-generalized Poisson regression model with right censored count data," Statistica Neerlandica, Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, vol. 67(1), pages 67-80, February.
    3. Mullahy, John, 1986. "Specification and testing of some modified count data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 341-365, December.
    4. William H. Greene, 1994. "Accounting for Excess Zeros and Sample Selection in Poisson and Negative Binomial Regression Models," Working Papers 94-10, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    5. Wang, Peiming & Alba, Joseph D., 2006. "A zero-inflated negative binomial regression model with hidden Markov chain," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 92(2), pages 209-213, August.
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