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Determinants of Migration Following the EU Enlargement: A Panel Data Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Franc Sanja

    (PhD, Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

  • Časni Anita Čeh

    (PhD, Assistant Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

  • Barišić Antea

    (MA, Teaching and Research Assistant Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Zagreb)

Abstract

The Eastern enlargements of the European Union (EU) since the early 2000s have included post-transitional economies at a lower level of development than the existing member states and thus, have significantly affected the East-West migration flows and labour markets on both sides. This has provided a distinctive opportunity to study the effects of liberalisation and to identify economic factors leading to migration flows with the purpose of enabling better estimations of future migration trends. In this research, a panel data analysis with pair of country fixed effects and time fixed effects is used to explore several pull and push factors of the East-West EU migration flows in the period from 2000 to 2017. Results indicate that emigration rate responds rather quickly to the changes in GDP per capita and unemployment rate of the youth population in immigration country, with statistically significant elasticity coefficients, suggesting that international migration contributes significantly to adjusting the labour supply to fluctuations in economic activity.

Suggested Citation

  • Franc Sanja & Časni Anita Čeh & Barišić Antea, 2019. "Determinants of Migration Following the EU Enlargement: A Panel Data Analysis," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 14(2), pages 13-22, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:seejeb:v:14:y:2019:i:2:p:13-22:n:2
    DOI: 10.2478/jeb-2019-0010
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Calvillo Preciado, David Alejandro & Lara Lara, Jaime & Martínez Elizondo, Arnoldo & Pequeño Morán, Eliseo Samuel & Velarde Villasana, Victor Manuel, 2023. "Factores asociados a la migración neta cero entre México y Estados Unidos, 2005-2015 [Factors Associated with Net Zero Migration Between Mexico and the United States, 2005-2015]," MPRA Paper 119985, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2024.
    3. Albena Vutsova & Martina Arabadzhieva, 2022. "Three Eastern Cases of Youth Unemployment Trends – Bulgaria, Romania, Serbia," Economic Studies journal, Bulgarian Academy of Sciences - Economic Research Institute, issue 3, pages 94-110.
    4. Oliinyk, Olena & Mishchuk, Halyna & Bilan, Yuriy & Skare, Marinko, 2022. "Integrated assessment of the attractiveness of the EU for intellectual immigrants: A taxonomy-based approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    5. Amr Abdelwahed & Anne Goujon & Leiwen Jiang, 2020. "The Migration Intentions of Young Egyptians," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-38, November.
    6. Ivandić Ria, 2023. "The Fiscal Consequences of Emigration: Evidence from Croatia," Zagreb International Review of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 26(2), pages 183-202.
    7. Vijay Kumar & Kalandi Charan Pradhan, 2025. "Regional analysis of patterns and determinants of migration in India: insights from post-pandemic period and future implications," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 42(3), pages 1-38, September.

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    JEL classification:

    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • C01 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Econometrics

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