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Housing Price, Mortgage Interest Rate and Immigration

Author

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  • Chong Fennee

    (Office of Research and Innovation, Charles Darwin University)

Abstract

Housing price in New Zealand has appreciated substantially after the Global Financial Crisis, resulting in an affordability problem for first home buyers. This paper studies whether changes in immigration activity and mortgage interest rate influence housing price. Empirical findings derived using VECM confirm the impact of immigration and mortgage interest rate on housing property price. Both variables explain 11.4 percent of the variation of Housing Index. An increase of 1 percent in mortgage interest rate would reduce the housing index movement by 1.44 percent whilst a 1 percent increase in immigrants would increase the housing index by 0.30 percent. In addition, about 2 percent of the short-run deviations of housing prices are adjusted towards the long-run equilibrium each month.

Suggested Citation

  • Chong Fennee, 2020. "Housing Price, Mortgage Interest Rate and Immigration," Real Estate Management and Valuation, Sciendo, vol. 28(3), pages 36-44, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:vrs:remava:v:28:y:2020:i:3:p:36-44:n:4
    DOI: 10.1515/remav-2020-0022
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Fennee Chong, 2023. "Housing Price and Interest Rate Hike: A Tale of Five Cities in Australia," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-13, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    housing price; mortgage interest rate; immigration;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • J11 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Demographic Trends, Macroeconomic Effects, and Forecasts
    • R31 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location - - - Housing Supply and Markets

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