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Real-estate price prediction with deep neural network and principal component analysis

Author

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  • Mostofi Fatemeh

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Karadeniz Technical University, P.O. Box, 61080, Trabzon, Türkiye, 393989@ogr.ktu.edu.tr)

  • Toğan Vedat
  • Başağa Hasan Basri

    (Department of Civil Engineering, Karadeniz Technical University, P.O. Box, 61080, Trabzon, Türkiye)

Abstract

Despite the wide application of deep neural networks (DNN) models, their application over small-sized real-estate price prediction is limited due to the reduced prediction accuracy and the high-dimensionality of the dataset. This study motivates small-sized real-estate agencies to take DNN-driven decisions using the available local dataset. To improve the high-dimensionality of real-estate price datasets and thus enhance the price-prediction accuracy of a DNN model, this paper adopts principal component analysis (PCA). The PCA benefits in improving the prediction accuracy of a DNN model are threefold: dimensionality reduction, dataset transformation and localisation of influential price features. The results indicate that, through the PCA-DNN model, the transformed dataset achieves higher accuracy (90%–95%) and better generalisation ability compared with other benchmark price predictors. The spatial and building age proved to have the most impact in determining the overall real-estate price. The application of PCA not only reduces the high-dimensionality of the dataset but also enhances the quality of the encoded feature attributes. The model is beneficial in real-estate and construction applications, where the absence of medium and big datasets decreases the price-prediction accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Mostofi Fatemeh & Toğan Vedat & Başağa Hasan Basri, 2022. "Real-estate price prediction with deep neural network and principal component analysis," Organization, Technology and Management in Construction, Sciendo, vol. 14(1), pages 2741-2759, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:vrs:otamic:v:14:y:2022:i:1:p:2741-2759:n:3
    DOI: 10.2478/otmcj-2022-0016
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    References listed on IDEAS

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