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Road Safety Trends at National Level in Europe: A Review of Time-series Analysis Performed during the Period 2000-12

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  • Ruth Bergel-Hayat
  • Joanna Zukowska

Abstract

This paper presents a review of time-series analysis of road safety trends, aggregated at a national level, which has been performed in the period 2000-12 and applied to European national data sets covering long time periods. It provides a guideline and set of best practices in the area of time-series modelling and identifies the latest methods and applications of national road safety trend analysis in Europe. The paper begins with the methodological framework adopted for aggregate time-series modelling that will be considered, and then discusses a number of relevant applications to long-period data aggregated at the national level, whether for countries alone, or for groups of countries. Some analyses, which were performed at the disaggregated level, are also provided, as they are being used more and more. Finally, the paper summarizes and discusses the significant changes in aggregate road safety trend analysis which occurred during the period and provides recommendations for continuing these research efforts.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruth Bergel-Hayat & Joanna Zukowska, 2015. "Road Safety Trends at National Level in Europe: A Review of Time-series Analysis Performed during the Period 2000-12," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(5), pages 650-671, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:transr:v:35:y:2015:i:5:p:650-671
    DOI: 10.1080/01441647.2015.1030005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Commandeur, Jacques J.F. & Koopman, Siem Jan, 2007. "An Introduction to State Space Time Series Analysis," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780199228874.
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    Cited by:

    1. Monika Kozerska, 2021. "Management of Infrastructure and Traffic Volume versus Road Traffic Safety," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3 - Part ), pages 615-632.
    2. repec:ers:journl:v:xxiv:y:2021:i:3b:p:615-632 is not listed on IDEAS
    3. Evangelos Rasvanis & Andreas Psarras & Theodore Panagiotidis, 2025. "(Why) Do Europeans Drive Differently?," Discussion Paper Series 2025_03, Department of Economics, University of Macedonia, revised Mar 2025.

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