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The Impact of the Fuel Price Policy on the Demand for Diesel Passenger Cars in Korean Cities

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  • Jae-Hong Kim
  • Seungil Lee
  • John Preston

Abstract

This study forecasts the impact of fuel price policy on the diesel car demand after the permission of domestic sales, using a conjoint analysis based on the stated preference survey from 500 respondents in Seoul and 324 respondents in Ulsan, Korea. The estimation results show that the fuel price elasticity is -0.631 and -0.645 for diesel cars in Seoul and Ulsan, respectively and the elasticity of purchase price are -1.332 and -1.058 for diesel cars in Seoul and Ulsan, respectively. The estimates of the diesel price elasticity indicate that the government planned fuel policy increasing diesel price from the current 70% to 85% of petrol price will decrease the demand for diesel cars by 13.8% to 23.4% when the petrol price is kept at the current price. The estimate of the purchase price elasticity denotes that the obligation of pollutantreducing equipment on diesel cars (about 10% of the sales price) will reduce the demand for diesel cars by 13.3% to 14.7%.

Suggested Citation

  • Jae-Hong Kim & Seungil Lee & John Preston, 2006. "The Impact of the Fuel Price Policy on the Demand for Diesel Passenger Cars in Korean Cities," International Review of Public Administration, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(2), pages 61-73, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:rrpaxx:v:10:y:2006:i:2:p:61-73
    DOI: 10.1080/12294659.2006.10805069
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Daniel J. Graham & Stephen Glaister, 2002. "The Demand for Automobile Fuel: A Survey of Elasticities," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 36(1), pages 1-25, January.
    2. Bruce Walker & Alex Marsh & Mark Wardman & Pat Niner, 2002. "Modelling Tenants' Choices in the Public Rented Sector: A Stated Preference Approach," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 39(4), pages 665-688, April.
    3. Louviere,Jordan J. & Hensher,David A. & Swait,Joffre D. With contributions by-Name:Adamowicz,Wiktor, 2000. "Stated Choice Methods," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521788304.
    4. Train,Kenneth E., 2009. "Discrete Choice Methods with Simulation," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521747387.
    5. Murphy, James J. & Stevens, Thomas H., 2004. "Contingent Valuation, Hypothetical Bias, and Experimental Economics," Agricultural and Resource Economics Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 33(2), pages 182-192, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Lee, Jongsu & Cho, Youngsang, 2009. "Demand forecasting of diesel passenger car considering consumer preference and government regulation in South Korea," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 43(4), pages 420-429, May.
    2. Tovar, Miguel A., 2011. "An integral evaluation of dieselisation policies for households' cars," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5228-5242, September.

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