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Gas storage valuation under limited market liquidity: an application in Germany

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  • Bastian Felix
  • Oliver Woll
  • Christoph Weber

Abstract

Natural gas storages may be valued by applying real options theory. However, it is crucial to take into account that most evolving gas markets, like the German spot market, lack liquidity. This implies that large-scale operation of storages reduces the achievable operating margin since storage operators will pay higher prices for injected gas and earn less on withdrawn gas. Optimal storage operation will take this into account. In this context, considering storage operators as price takers does not account for interdependencies of storage operations and market prices. This paper offers a novel approach to storage valuation taking into account the effect of management decisions on market prices. The methodology proposed within this paper determines the optimal production schedule and value by determining the stochastic differential equation describing the storage value and then applying a finite difference scheme. We find that limited liquidity lowers the storage value and reduces withdrawal and injection amounts. Further, we observe decreasing reservation prices for injection and withdrawing for growing illiquidity resulting in a left shift of injection and withdrawing threshold prices.

Suggested Citation

  • Bastian Felix & Oliver Woll & Christoph Weber, 2013. "Gas storage valuation under limited market liquidity: an application in Germany," The European Journal of Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 19(7-8), pages 715-733, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:eurjfi:v:19:y:2013:i:7-8:p:715-733
    DOI: 10.1080/1351847X.2012.681793
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    Cited by:

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    2. James Cruise & Lisa Flatley & Richard Gibbens & Stan Zachary, 2019. "Control of Energy Storage with Market Impact: Lagrangian Approach and Horizons," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 67(1), pages 1-9, January.
    3. repec:dau:papers:123456789/11439 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Lilian de Menezes & Marianna Russo & Giovanni Urga, 2016. "Identifying Drivers of Liquidity in the NBP Month-ahead Market," EcoMod2016 9570, EcoMod.
    5. Frei, Fanny & Loder, Allister & Bening, Catharina R., 2018. "Liquidity in green power markets – An international review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 674-690.
    6. Secomandi, Nicola & Seppi, Duane J., 2014. "Real Options and Merchant Operations of Energy and Other Commodities," Foundations and Trends(R) in Technology, Information and Operations Management, now publishers, vol. 6(3-4), pages 161-331, July.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • D52 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Incomplete Markets
    • Q40 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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