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Inter-Regional Trade Flow Estimation Through Non-Survey Models: An Empirical Assessment

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  • Ana L.M. Sargento
  • Pedro Nogueira Ramos
  • Geoffrey J.D. Hewings

Abstract

Inter-regional trade estimation has been pointed out as a crucial problem when constructing a multiregional input--output system. Knowledge of inter-regional trade flows, at least of the pooled volume of exports and imports by commodity, is critical in accounting for important spillover and feedback effects deriving from inter-regional linkages. However, in most countries, there are no completely reliable survey-based statistics on inter-regional trade. Thus, this paper intends to evaluate the reasonability of using indirect inter-regional trade estimates, comparing different estimating methods and assessing the sensitivity of the model results. Based on our empirical comparisons we conclude that input--output models are not greatly affected by the insertion of different trade values. Thus, our results support the use of indirect estimates for inter-regional trade, whenever survey-based data are unavailable.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana L.M. Sargento & Pedro Nogueira Ramos & Geoffrey J.D. Hewings, 2012. "Inter-Regional Trade Flow Estimation Through Non-Survey Models: An Empirical Assessment," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 173-193, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:ecsysr:v:24:y:2012:i:2:p:173-193
    DOI: 10.1080/09535314.2011.574609
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    Cited by:

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    2. Faturay, Futu & Vunnava, Venkata Sai Gargeya & Lenzen, Manfred & Singh, Shweta, 2020. "Using a new USA multi-region input output (MRIO) model for assessing economic and energy impacts of wind energy expansion in USA," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    3. Chen, Guangwu & Wiedmann, Thomas & Wang, Yafei & Hadjikakou, Michalis, 2016. "Transnational city carbon footprint networks – Exploring carbon links between Australian and Chinese cities," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 1082-1092.
    4. Lin, Jianyi & Hu, Yuanchao & Zhao, Xiaofeng & Shi, Longyu & Kang, Jiefeng, 2017. "Developing a city-centric global multiregional input-output model (CCG-MRIO) to evaluate urban carbon footprints," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 460-466.
    5. Erik Dietzenbacher & Manfred Lenzen & Bart Los & Dabo Guan & Michael L. Lahr & Ferran Sancho & Sangwon Suh & Cuihong Yang, 2013. "Input--Output Analysis: The Next 25 Years," Economic Systems Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 25(4), pages 369-389, December.
    6. Tranos, Emmanouil & Incera, Andre Carrascal & Willis, George, 2022. "Using the web to predict regional trade flows: data extraction, modelling, and validation," OSF Preprints 9bu5z, Center for Open Science.
    7. Michael L. Lahr & João Pedro Ferreira & Johannes R. Többen, 2020. "Intraregional trade shares for goods‐producing industries: RPC estimates using EU data," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 99(6), pages 1583-1605, December.
    8. Meiling Li & Lijie Zhang & Zhuangzhuang Zhang, 2023. "Impact of Digital Economy on Inter-Regional Trade: An Empirical Analysis in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(15), pages 1-22, August.
    9. Gabela, Julio Gustavo Fournier, 2020. "On the accuracy of gravity-RAS approaches used for inter-regional trade estimation: evidence using the 2005 inter-regional input–output table of Japan," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 32(4), pages 521-539.
    10. Fang, Delin & Chen, Bin, 2018. "Linkage analysis for water-carbon nexus in China," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C), pages 682-695.
    11. Mairi Spowage & Sharada Nia Davidson, 2021. "Improving the Quality of Regional Economic Indicators in the UK: A Framework for Interregional Trade Data Collection and Estimation," Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE) Technical Reports ESCOE-TR-13, Economic Statistics Centre of Excellence (ESCoE).
    12. Edgar Towa & Vanessa Zeller & Stefano Merciai & Jannick Schmidt & Wouter M. J. Achten, 2022. "Toward the development of subnational hybrid input–output tables in a multiregional framework," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(1), pages 88-106, February.
    13. Fang, Delin & Chen, Bin, 2019. "Information-based ecological network analysis for carbon emissions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 45-53.
    14. Ageliki Anagnostou & Pawel Gajewski, 2021. "Multi-Regional Input–Output Tables for Macroeconomic Simulations in Poland’s Regions," Economies, MDPI, vol. 9(4), pages 1-19, October.
    15. Mattia Cai, 2021. "Doubly constrained gravity models for interregional trade estimation," Papers in Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 100(2), pages 455-474, April.
    16. Mitsuo Yamada, 2015. "Construction of a multi-regional input-output table for Nagoya metropolitan area, Japan," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 4(1), pages 1-18, December.

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