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Are budget deficits inflationary? A cointegration approach

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  • George Hondroyiannis
  • Evangelia Papapetrou

Abstract

This paper investigates the direct and indirect effects of budget deficit on inflation in Greece for the period 1957-93. The empirical analysis employs tests of cointegration, as suggested by Johansen and Juselius, as pretests for Granger tests of causality. The empirical evidence suggests that the indirect effects of budget deficits on inflation exist while the direct effects are not present.

Suggested Citation

  • George Hondroyiannis & Evangelia Papapetrou, 1997. "Are budget deficits inflationary? A cointegration approach," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(8), pages 493-496.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:4:y:1997:i:8:p:493-496
    DOI: 10.1080/758536632
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    13. Johansen, Søren & Juselius, Katarina, 1992. "Testing structural hypotheses in a multivariate cointegration analysis of the PPP and the UIP for UK," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 53(1-3), pages 211-244.
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    Cited by:

    1. Aviral Kumar Tiwari & A. P. Tiwari, 2011. "Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: An empirical analysis for India," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 14(42), pages 131-158, December.
    2. José Pablo Barquero Romero & Kerry Loaiza Marín, 2017. "Inflation and Public Debt," Monetaria, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA, vol. 0(1), pages 39-94, January-J.
    3. Hemantha K.J. Ekanayake, 2012. "The Link Between Fiscal Deficit and Inflation: Do public sector wages matter?," ASARC Working Papers 2012-14, The Australian National University, Australia South Asia Research Centre.
    4. Hossein-Ali Fakher, 2016. "The Empirical Relationship between Fiscal Deficits and Inflation (Case Study: Selected Asian Economies)," Iranian Economic Review (IER), Faculty of Economics,University of Tehran.Tehran,Iran, vol. 20(4), pages 551-579, Autumn.
    5. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi, 2020. "Application of Bootstrap Simulation and Asymmetric Causal Approach to Fiscal Deficit-Inflation Nexus," Global Journal of Emerging Market Economies, Emerging Markets Forum, vol. 12(2), pages 123-140, May.
    6. Phouthanouphet Saysombath, 2014. "An Examination of the Causal Relationship between Budget Deficit and Inflation: a Case Study of Lao PDR," Journal of Social and Development Sciences, AMH International, vol. 5(2), pages 43-49.
    7. Sophia Lazaretou, 2005. "Greek Monetary Economics in Retrospect: The Adventures of the Drachma," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 34(3), pages 331-370, November.
    8. Yaya Keho, 2016. "Budget deficits, money supply and price level in West Africa," Journal of Economic and Financial Studies (JEFS), LAR Center Press, vol. 4(5), pages 1-8, October.
    9. Esat Durguti & Nexhat Kryeziu & Emine Gashi, 2020. "How Does the Budget Deficit Affect Inflation Rate-Evidence from Western Balkans," International Journal of Finance & Banking Studies, Center for the Strategic Studies in Business and Finance, vol. 9(1), pages 01-10, January.

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