IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spt/stecon/v12y2023i3f12_3_1.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Age Cohort Affects on U.S. State-Level Alcohol Consumption Shares: Insights Using Attraction CODA

Author

Listed:
  • Mitch Kunce

Abstract

One of the most significant demographic changes predicted for this mid-century is in the age distribution of the U.S. population. Few aggregate empirical studies in the alcohol demand literature account for the entire age distribution of a jurisdiction in the statistical analyses. Herein, we propose the use of the attraction CODA empirical framework to model age cohort impacts to state-level beer, wine and spirits consumption shares in the U.S. for the years 2008 - 2020. This compositional construct, based in simplicial geometry, allows researchers to keep intact the entirety of states' age distributions without designed transformation. Age related results show that declines in states' beer shares are attributed to, mainly, proportional increases of states' 35-54 year-old cohorts. States with increasing older to elder population proportions experienced increases in wine shares and states' 35-54 year-old cohorts again, not younger populations, are key in driving the increased states' spirits consumption shares. Â JEL classification numbers: C10, C19, L60.

Suggested Citation

  • Mitch Kunce, 2023. "Age Cohort Affects on U.S. State-Level Alcohol Consumption Shares: Insights Using Attraction CODA," Journal of Statistical and Econometric Methods, SCIENPRESS Ltd, vol. 12(3), pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:spt:stecon:v:12:y:2023:i:3:f:12_3_1
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.scienpress.com/Upload/JSEM%2fVol%2012_3_1.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fair, Ray C & Dominguez, Kathryn M, 1991. "Effects of the Changing U.S. Age Distribution on Macroeconomic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 81(5), pages 1276-1294, December.
    2. Elzinga, Kenneth G. & Tremblay, Carol Horton & Tremblay, Victor J., 2015. "Craft Beer in the United States: History, Numbers, and Geography," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 10(3), pages 242-274, December.
    3. Swinnen, Johan, 2017. "Beer Consumption and Trade in a Era of Economic Growth and Globalization," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 32(3), September.
    4. Fogarty, James & Voon, Derby, 2018. "Alcohol Consumption in the United States: Past, Present, and Future Trends," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 13(2), pages 121-143, May.
    5. Joanna Morais & Christine Thomas-Agnan & Michel Simioni, 2018. "Using compositional and Dirichlet models for market share regression," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(9), pages 1670-1689, July.
    6. Joanna Morais & Christine Thomas-Agnan & Michel Simioni, 2017. "Interpretation of explanatory variables impacts in compositional regression models," Working Papers hal-01563362, HAL.
    7. Yakovlev, Pavel A. & Guessford, Walter P., 2013. "Alcohol Consumption and Political Ideology: What's Party Got to Do with It?," Journal of Wine Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(3), pages 335-354, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Morais, Joanna & Thomas-Agnan, Christine & Simioni, Michel, 2018. "Impact of advertizing on brand’s market-shares in the automobile market:: a multi-channel attraction model with competition and carry-over effects," TSE Working Papers 18-878, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    2. Peter S. Yoo, 1994. "The baby boom and international capital flows," Working Papers 1994-031, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    3. Skans, Oskar Nordstrom, 2005. "Age effects in Swedish local labor markets," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 86(3), pages 419-426, March.
    4. Diane J. Macunovich, 1999. "The fortunes of one's birth: Relative cohort size and the youth labor market in the United States," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 12(2), pages 215-272.
    5. Ryan M. Hynes & Bernardo S. Buarque & Ronald B. Davies & Dieter F. Kogler, 2020. "Hops, Skip & a Jump - The Regional Uniqueness of Beer Styles," Working Papers 202013, Geary Institute, University College Dublin.
    6. Witham, Adam & Leite, Brian, 2023. "Business is Hopping: The Effects of Deregulation on Southern Craft Beer," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 53(1), January.
    7. Yunus Aksoy & Henrique S. Basso & Ron P. Smith & Tobias Grasl, 2019. "Demographic Structure and Macroeconomic Trends," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(1), pages 193-222, January.
    8. Yukio Fukumoto & Tomoko Kinugasa, 2017. "Age Structure and Trade Openness: An Empirical Investigation," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 40(6), pages 1247-1263, June.
    9. Mr. Cian Allen & Camila Casas & Mr. Giovanni Ganelli & Luciana Juvenal & Mr. Daniel Leigh & Mr. Pau Rabanal & Cyril Rebillard & Jair Rodriguez & João Tovar Jalles, 2023. "2022 Update of the External Balance Assessment Methodology," IMF Working Papers 2023/047, International Monetary Fund.
    10. Philip R. Lane & Gian Maria Milesi-Ferretti, 2002. "Long-Term Capital Movements," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2001, Volume 16, pages 73-136, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Peter S. Yoo, 1994. "Age distributions and returns of financial assets," Working Papers 1994-002, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
    12. Thomas Lindh, 2004. "Medium-term forecasts of potential GDP and inflation using age structure information," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(1), pages 19-49.
    13. Andersson, Andreas & Österholm, Pär, 2001. "The Impact of Demography on the Real Exchange Rate," Working Paper Series 2001:11, Uppsala University, Department of Economics.
    14. Andrew K. Rose & Saktiandi Supaat & Jacob Braude, 2009. "Fertility and the real exchange rate," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(2), pages 496-518, May.
    15. Kerkelä, Leena, 2003. "Can Trade Liberalization Serve International Technology Diffusion in Developing Countries?," Conference papers 331109, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    16. T. H. A. Nguyen & T. Laurent & C. Thomas-Agnan & A. Ruiz-Gazen, 2022. "Analyzing the impacts of socio-economic factors on French departmental elections with CoDa methods," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(5), pages 1235-1251, April.
    17. Matthew Higgins & Jeffrey G. Williamson, 1996. "Asian Demography and Foreign Capital Dependence," NBER Working Papers 5560, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Thibault Laurent & Christine Thomas-Agnan & Anne Ruiz-Gazen, 2023. "Covariates impacts in spatial autoregressive models for compositional data," Journal of Spatial Econometrics, Springer, vol. 4(1), pages 1-23, December.
    19. Persson, Joakim, 1999. "Demographic and Per Capita Income Dynamics: A Convergence Study on Demographics, Human Capital, and Per Capita Income for the US States," Working Paper Series 156, Trade Union Institute for Economic Research.
    20. Park, Joon Y. & Shin, Kwanho & Whang, Yoon-Jae, 2010. "A semiparametric cointegrating regression: Investigating the effects of age distributions on consumption and saving," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(1), pages 165-178, July.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Age cohorts; Alcohol consumption; Compositional regressions.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C10 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - General
    • C19 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Other
    • L60 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Manufacturing - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spt:stecon:v:12:y:2023:i:3:f:12_3_1. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Eleftherios Spyromitros-Xioufis (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.scienpress.com/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.