IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/ssefpa/v15y2023i6d10.1007_s12571-023-01419-8.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The 2023-24 El Niño event and its possible global consequences on food security with emphasis on India

Author

Listed:
  • Manjari Singh

    (Alliance of Bioversity International & CIAT)

  • Sonam Sah

    (ICAR-National Institute of Abiotic Stress Management)

  • R. N. Singh

    (ICAR-National Institute of Abiotic Stress Management)

Abstract

The ongoing, 2023–2024 El Niño appears to become a strong event, possibly comparable to the other strong El Niño episodes on record. In itself, and because it coincides with grave tensions – economic, political and environmental across the world – the phenomenon could have major climatic, social, and economic consequences. This Opinion article considers the scientific information available, explores the possible climatic consequences, and assesses the impacts on global food security. The case of India, one of the main agricultural and most populated country in the world, is considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Manjari Singh & Sonam Sah & R. N. Singh, 2023. "The 2023-24 El Niño event and its possible global consequences on food security with emphasis on India," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(6), pages 1431-1436, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:ssefpa:v:15:y:2023:i:6:d:10.1007_s12571-023-01419-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s12571-023-01419-8
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s12571-023-01419-8
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s12571-023-01419-8?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Toshichika Iizumi & Jing-Jia Luo & Andrew J. Challinor & Gen Sakurai & Masayuki Yokozawa & Hirofumi Sakuma & Molly E. Brown & Toshio Yamagata, 2014. "Impacts of El Niño Southern Oscillation on the global yields of major crops," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 5(1), pages 1-7, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nicolas Legrand, 2023. "War in Ukraine: The rational “wait‐and‐see” mode of global food markets," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 45(2), pages 626-644, June.
    2. Cao, Juan & Zhang, Zhao & Tao, Fulu & Chen, Yi & Luo, Xiangzhong & Xie, Jun, 2023. "Forecasting global crop yields based on El Nino Southern Oscillation early signals," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    3. Andrea Bastianin & Alessandro Lanza & Matteo Manera, 2018. "Economic impacts of El Niño southern oscillation: evidence from the Colombian coffee market," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(5), pages 623-633, September.
    4. Luciano Gutierrez, 2017. "Impacts of El Niño-Southern Oscillation on the wheat market: A global dynamic analysis," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(6), pages 1-22, June.
    5. Davinson Stev Abril‐Salcedo & Luis Fernando Melo‐Velandia & Daniel Parra‐Amado, 2020. "Nonlinear relationship between the weather phenomenon El niño and Colombian food prices," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 64(4), pages 1059-1086, October.
    6. Thomas McGregor & Samuel Wills, 2016. "Surfing A Wave Of Economic Growth," OxCarre Working Papers 170, Oxford Centre for the Analysis of Resource Rich Economies, University of Oxford.
    7. Kukal, M.S. & Irmak, S., 2020. "Impact of irrigation on interannual variability in United States agricultural productivity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    8. Haile, B. & Azzarri, C. & Heady, D. & You, L., 2018. "Climate, climate shocks and child nutrition in Africa’s diverse farming systems," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 275928, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    9. Jaman, Md Hasanur & Roy, Subha & Chatterjee, Jaya & Das, Souvik & Mistri, Prakash & Sengupta, Somasis, 2025. "Integrating agricultural land suitability and farmers' perception on crop selection in a water-stressed region of eastern India," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    10. Cao, Yan & Cheng, Sheng & Li, Xinran, 2024. "Co-movements between heterogeneous crude oil and food markets: Does temperature change really matter?," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 67(PB).
    11. David Ubilava, 2018. "The Role of El Niño Southern Oscillation in Commodity Price Movement and Predictability," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 100(1), pages 239-263.
    12. Hernan Botero & Andrew P. Barnes, 2022. "The effect of ENSO on common bean production in Colombia: a time series approach," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 14(6), pages 1417-1430, December.
    13. Aditya Kusuma & Bethanna Jackson & Ilan Noy, 2018. "A viable and cost-effective weather index insurance for rice in Indonesia," The Geneva Risk and Insurance Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association for the Study of Insurance Economics (The Geneva Association), vol. 43(2), pages 186-218, September.
    14. Cashin, Paul & Mohaddes, Kamiar & Raissi, Mehdi, 2017. "Fair weather or foul? The macroeconomic effects of El Niño," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 37-54.
    15. Algieri, Bernardina & Kornher, Lukas & von Braun, Joachim, 2024. "The Changing Drivers of Food Inflation – Macroeconomics, Inflation, and War," Discussion Papers 340561, University of Bonn, Center for Development Research (ZEF).
    16. Listiana, Indah & Nurmayasari, Indah & Bursan, Rinaldi & Sukmayanto, Muher & Yanfika, Helvi & Widyastuti, R.A.D, 2021. "Farmers' Capacity and Rice Productivity in Climate Change Adaption in Central Lampung Regency, Indonesia," Asian Journal of Agriculture and Rural Development, Asian Economic and Social Society (AESS), vol. 11(04), January.
    17. Matteo Bonato & Oğuzhan Çepni & Rangan Gupta & Christian Pierdzioch, 2023. "El Niño, La Niña, and forecastability of the realized variance of agricultural commodity prices: Evidence from a machine learning approach," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 785-801, July.
    18. Agie Wandala Putra & Jatna Supriatna & Raldi Hendro Koestoer & Tri Edhi Budhi Soesilo, 2021. "Differences in Local Rice Price Volatility, Climate, and Macroeconomic Determinants in the Indonesian Market," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-21, April.
    19. Gianfranco Giulioni & Edmondo Di Giuseppe & Massimiliano Pasqui & Piero Toscano & Francesco Miglietta, 2018. "Investigating Wheat Price with a Multi-Agent Model," Papers 1807.10537, arXiv.org.
    20. Yaling Li & Fujin Yi & Yanjun Wang & Richard Gudaj, 2019. "The Value of El Niño-Southern Oscillation Forecasts to China’s Agriculture," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(15), pages 1-23, August.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:ssefpa:v:15:y:2023:i:6:d:10.1007_s12571-023-01419-8. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.