IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/sorede/v35y2024i1d10.1134_s107570072401012x.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Psychological Mechanisms of Economic Optimism amid the Crisis

Author

Listed:
  • T. A. Nestik

    (Institute of Psychology, Russian Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

— The article analyzes the impact of economic crises on the psychological well-being of individuals, as well as the role played by indicators of the psycho-emotional state of society in economic forecasting. Individual psychological and sociopsychological mechanisms underlying the growth of economic optimism in society under crisis conditions are considered, i.e., mobilization of personal resources, “positive illusions,” including overoptimism and overestimation when control the situation. Based on the analysis of the results obtained by three online surveys conducted among Russians in 2022 (N = 1600; N = 1041; N = 1581), the author identifies the types of personal attitudes to economic sanctions. It is also shown that social optimism and positive assessment of the consequences following the sanctions make a more significant positive contribution to consumer expectations than the level of income and self-confidence. Promising directions for further research in the field of psychology of economic expectations are outlined.

Suggested Citation

  • T. A. Nestik, 2024. "Psychological Mechanisms of Economic Optimism amid the Crisis," Studies on Russian Economic Development, Springer, vol. 35(1), pages 13-20, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:35:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1134_s107570072401012x
    DOI: 10.1134/S107570072401012X
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1134/S107570072401012X
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1134/S107570072401012X?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Gao, Zhenyu & Ren, Haohan & Zhang, Bohui, 2020. "Googling Investor Sentiment around the World," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 55(2), pages 549-580, March.
    2. Zhi Da & Joseph Engelberg & Pengjie Gao, 2015. "Editor's Choice The Sum of All FEARS Investor Sentiment and Asset Prices," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 28(1), pages 1-32.
    3. Zullow, Harold M., 1991. "Pessimistic rumination in popular songs and newsmagazines predict economic recession via decreased consumer optimism and spending," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 12(3), pages 501-526, September.
    4. Dominic D. P. Johnson & James H. Fowler, 2011. "The evolution of overconfidence," Nature, Nature, vol. 477(7364), pages 317-320, September.
    5. Conchita D'Ambrosio & Joachim R. Frick, 2012. "Individual Wellbeing in a Dynamic Perspective," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 79(314), pages 284-302, April.
    6. Edmans, Alex & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Garel, Alexandre & Indriawan, Ivan, 2022. "Music sentiment and stock returns around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 234-254.
    7. David W. Johnston & Claryn S. J. Kung & Michael A. Shields, 2021. "Who is resilient in a time of crisis? The importance of financial and non‐financial resources," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(12), pages 3051-3073, December.
    8. Wilkinson, Lindsay R. & Schafer, Markus H. & Wilkinson, Renae, 2020. "How painful is a recession? An assessment of two future-oriented buffering mechanisms," Social Science & Medicine, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
    9. Chhatwani, Malvika & Mishra, Sushanta Kumar, 2021. "Financial fragility and financial optimism linkage during COVID-19: Does financial literacy matter?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    10. Katherine Meckel & Bradley Shapiro, 2021. "Depression and Shopping Behavior," NBER Working Papers 29462, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    11. Carl Magnus Bjuggren & Niklas Elert, 2019. "Gender differences in optimism," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(47), pages 5160-5173, October.
    12. Richard Curtin, 2019. "Consumer expectations: a new paradigm," Business Economics, Palgrave Macmillan;National Association for Business Economics, vol. 54(4), pages 199-210, October.
    13. Tomáš Sobotka & Vegard Skirbekk & Dimiter Philipov, 2011. "Economic Recession and Fertility in the Developed World," Population and Development Review, The Population Council, Inc., vol. 37(2), pages 267-306, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hadhri, Sinda, 2023. "Do cryptocurrencies feel the music?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    2. Edmans, Alex & Fernandez-Perez, Adrian & Garel, Alexandre & Indriawan, Ivan, 2022. "Music sentiment and stock returns around the world," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 145(2), pages 234-254.
    3. Abudy, Menachem (Meni) & Mugerman, Yevgeny & Shust, Efrat, 2022. "The Winner Takes It All: Investor Sentiment and the Eurovision Song Contest," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    4. Stig Vinther Møller & Thomas Pedersen & Erik Christian Montes Schütte & Allan Timmermann, 2024. "Search and Predictability of Prices in the Housing Market," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(1), pages 415-438, January.
    5. Yuan, Ying & Wang, Haiying & Jin, Xiu, 2022. "Pandemic-driven financial contagion and investor behavior: Evidence from the COVID-19," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    6. Li, Pan & Chen, Kecai & Zhu, Xiaoneng, 2024. "Extreme Sentiment and Jumps in Analyst Forecast Dispersion," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(PA).
    7. Liu, Qing & Wang, Shouyang & Sui, Cong, 2023. "Risk appetite and option prices: Evidence from the Chinese SSE50 options market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
    8. Kerry Liu, 2022. "China's Reform Spree in 2021: Common Prosperity and Others," Economic Papers, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 41(3), pages 232-246, September.
    9. Tang, Ning & Chang, Hao-Wen & Lin, Chih-Yung & Lu, Chien-Lin, 2024. "Public's evaluation of ESG and credit default swap: Evidence from East Asian countries," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
    10. Xu, Alan, 2022. "Air pollution and mediation effects in stock market, longitudinal evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    11. Ung, Sze Nie & Gebka, Bartosz & Anderson, Robert D.J., 2023. "Is sentiment the solution to the risk–return puzzle? A (cautionary) note," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C).
    12. Lee, Geul & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Investor sentiment or information content? A simple test for investor sentiment proxies," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    13. Yuan Li, 2022. "Mood Beta, Sentiment and Stock Returns in China," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(1), pages 21582440221, February.
    14. Chhatwani, Malvika & Mishra, Sushanta Kumar, 2021. "Financial fragility and financial optimism linkage during COVID-19: Does financial literacy matter?," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    15. Vu Le Tran & Guillaume Coqueret, 2023. "ESG news spillovers across the value chain," Financial Management, Financial Management Association International, vol. 52(4), pages 677-710, December.
    16. Dim, Chukwuma & Koerner, Kevin & Wolski, Marcin & Zwart, Sanne, 2022. "Hot off the press: News-implied sovereign default risk," EIB Working Papers 2022/06, European Investment Bank (EIB).
    17. Kerry Liu, 2023. "America's decoupling from China: A perspective from stock markets," Economic Affairs, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 43(1), pages 32-52, February.
    18. Abakah, Emmanuel Joel Aikins & Abdullah, Mohammad & Yousaf, Imran & Kumar Tiwari, Aviral & Li, Yanshuang, 2024. "Economic sanctions sentiment and global stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    19. Wagner, Moritz & Wei, Xiaopeng, 2024. "Ambiguous investor sentiment," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    20. Dash, Saumya Ranjan & Maitra, Debasish, 2022. "The COVID-19 pandemic uncertainty, investor sentiment, and global equity markets: Evidence from the time-frequency co-movements," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 62(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:sorede:v:35:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1134_s107570072401012x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.