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Reduction of future disaster damages by learning from disaster experiences

Author

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  • Hiroki Onuma

    (Kyushu University)

  • Kong Joo Shin

    (Kyushu University)

  • Shunsuke Managi

    (Kyushu University)

Abstract

This paper examines the effect of a country’s own past disaster experiences and nearby countries’ past experiences on subsequent disaster damage. We use global disaster data from 1990 to 2010, which include disaster-related death tolls for both natural and technological disasters that are further divided into sub-categories. Overall, we find evidence of a reduction effect of past disaster damage on future disaster damage. More detailed analyses show that an adaptation effect seems to be present for certain combinations of disaster types and levels of economic development. The results show that a country’s own experiences reduce future damage for natural disasters but that the marginal effect is larger for lower-income countries. On the other hand, for technological disasters, a robust impact of experiences was found only in higher-income countries. In terms of the disaster experiences of nearby countries, the adaptation effect was found only for natural disasters, and the marginal impact was relatively higher for higher-income countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Hiroki Onuma & Kong Joo Shin & Shunsuke Managi, 2017. "Reduction of future disaster damages by learning from disaster experiences," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 87(3), pages 1435-1452, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:87:y:2017:i:3:d:10.1007_s11069-017-2825-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-017-2825-3
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    Cited by:

    1. Yoo, Sunbin & Managi, Shunsuke, 2020. "Global mortality benefits of COVID-19 action," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    2. Hyun-Ok Jung & Seung-Woo Han, 2022. "Development and Validation of Earthquake Fire Response Simulation Protocol for Korean College Students in Health Programs," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-9, May.
    3. Hiroki Onuma & Kong Joo Shin & Shunsuke Managi, 2021. "Short-, Medium-, and Long-Term Growth Impacts of Catastrophic and Non-catastrophic Natural Disasters," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(1), pages 53-70, April.
    4. Huicong Jia & Fang Chen & Enyu Du, 2021. "Adaptation to Disaster Risk—An Overview," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(21), pages 1-21, October.
    5. Kirsten Halsnæs & Morten Andreas Dahl Larsen & Per Skougaard Kaspersen, 2018. "Climate change risks for severe storms in developing countries in the context of poverty and inequality in Cambodia," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 94(1), pages 261-278, October.
    6. Olga Petrucci & Paola Salvati & Luigi Aceto & Cinzia Bianchi & Angela Aurora Pasqua & Mauro Rossi & Fausto Guzzetti, 2017. "The Vulnerability of People to Damaging Hydrogeological Events in the Calabria Region (Southern Italy)," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-28, December.
    7. Alejandro Valle & Robert J. R. Elliott & Eric Strobl & Meng Tong, 2018. "The Short-Term Economic Impact of Tropical Cyclones: Satellite Evidence from Guangdong Province," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 225-235, October.
    8. Zhang, Dayong & Managi, Shunsuke, 2020. "Financial development, natural disasters, and economics of the Pacific small island states," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 168-181.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural disaster; Technological disaster; Adaptation; Learning; Disaster experience; Economic development;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O1 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

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