IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/endesu/v26y2024i12d10.1007_s10668-024-04507-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Uncertainty-based analysis of water balance components: a semi-arid groundwater-dependent and data-scarce area, Iran

Author

Listed:
  • Hamed Ketabchi

    (Tarbiat Modares University)

  • Davood Mahmoodzadeh

    (Tarbiat Modares University
    University of Northern British Columbia)

  • Elmira Valipour

    (Tarbiat Modares University)

  • Tofigh Saadi

    (Alborz Regional Water Authority)

Abstract

In regions where gauging is lacking or limited, the development of a methodology for water balance assessment is a key challenge. Water balance assessment is a significant task in managing the sustainable use of water resources. This study aims to improve the accuracy of water balance components including actual evapotranspiration and groundwater recharge rate in the Hashtgerd study area, Iran. Groundwater extraction volumes are determined based on two-period data collection; while precipitation, evapotranspiration, and groundwater storage change are calculated from annual datasets. To address the data-scarce problem, as an additional measure of actual evapotranspiration, satellite measurements are used to improve recharge rate accuracy. To understand the impact of satellite data uncertainties on water resources studies, each estimated water balance component is compared to observation data, and the uncertainty of these components is quantified using statistical methods, variability, and standard error. The results show that the Hashtgerd aquifer receives 199 MCM from the main drains which is a major part of the water inflow. The extraction of wells is one of the most significant outflow components of the aquifer (i.e., 284 MCM); while water loss by evaporation is estimated to be 207 MCM of the outflow. The finding shows that satellite-based evapotranspiration can reduce recharge uncertainty which can improve the resolution of groundwater balance. This study supports that the aquifer is under severe environmental pressure. One of those concerns is that groundwater levels decreased by 0.92 m per year between 2000 and 2019.

Suggested Citation

  • Hamed Ketabchi & Davood Mahmoodzadeh & Elmira Valipour & Tofigh Saadi, 2024. "Uncertainty-based analysis of water balance components: a semi-arid groundwater-dependent and data-scarce area, Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(12), pages 31511-31537, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:12:d:10.1007_s10668-024-04507-7
    DOI: 10.1007/s10668-024-04507-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10668-024-04507-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10668-024-04507-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Er-Raki, S. & Ezzahar, J. & Merlin, O. & Amazirh, A. & Hssaine, B. Ait & Kharrou, M.H. & Khabba, S. & Chehbouni, A., 2021. "Performance of the HYDRUS-1D model for water balance components assessment of irrigated winter wheat under different water managements in semi-arid region of Morocco," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    2. Menglin Zhang & Yanguo Teng & Yazhen Jiang & Wenjie Yin & Xuelei Wang & Dasheng Zhang & Jinfeng Liao, 2022. "Evaluation of Terrestrial Water Storage Changes over China Based on GRACE Solutions and Water Balance Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(18), pages 1-20, September.
    3. de Fraiture, Charlotte & Cai, Ximing & Amarasinghe, Upali A. & Rosegrant, Mark W. & Molden, David J., 2004. "Does international cereal trade save water? The impact of virtual water trade on global water use," IWMI Research Reports 92832, International Water Management Institute.
    4. Elmira Valipour & Hamed Ketabchi & Reza Safari shali & Saeed Morid, 2023. "Equity, Social Welfare, and Economic Benefit Efficiency in the Optimal Allocation of Coastal Groundwater Resources," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(8), pages 2969-2990, June.
    5. Elmira Valipour & Hamed Ketabchi & Reza Safari shali & Saeed Morid, 2024. "Water Resources Allocation: Interactions Between Equity/Justice and Allocation Strategies," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(2), pages 505-535, January.
    6. Akbari, Fatemeh & Shourian, Mojtaba & Moridi, Ali, 2022. "Assessment of the climate change impacts on the watershed-scale optimal crop pattern using a surface-groundwater interaction hydro-agronomic model," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    7. de Fraiture, Charlotte & Cai, X & Amarasinghe, Upali & Rosegrant, M. & Molden, David, 2004. "Does international cereal trade save water?: the impact of virtual water trade on global water use," IWMI Research Reports H035342, International Water Management Institute.
    8. M. Babaei & H. Ketabchi, 2022. "Determining Groundwater Recharge Rate with a Distributed Model and Remote Sensing Techniques," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(14), pages 5401-5423, November.
    9. Closas, Alvar & Molle, François & Hernández-Mora, Nuria, 2017. "Sticks and carrots to manage groundwater over-abstraction in La Mancha, Spain," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 113-124.
    10. Aida Mehrazar & Ali Reza Massah Bavani & Alireza Gohari & Mahmoud Mashal & Hadisseh Rahimikhoob, 2020. "Adaptation of Water Resources System to Water Scarcity and Climate Change in the Suburb Area of Megacities," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(12), pages 3855-3877, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. World Bank, 2006. "Reengaging in Agricultural Water Management: Challenges and Options," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 6957, April.
    2. Calzadilla, Alvaro & Rehdanz, Katrin & Tol, Richard S.J., 2008. "Water scarcity and the impact of improved irrigation management: A CGE analysis," Conference papers 331788, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Maria Berrittella & Katrin Rehdanz & Richard S.J. Tol, 2006. "The Economic Impact of the South-North Water Transfer Project in China: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis," Working Papers 2006.154, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei.
    4. Elena Lopez‐Gunn & Manuel Ramón Llamas, 2008. "Re‐thinking water scarcity: Can science and technology solve the global water crisis?," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 32(3), pages 228-238, August.
    5. María Jesús Beltrán & Esther Velázquez, 2011. "Del metabolismo social al metabolismo hídrico," Documentos de Trabajo de la Asociación de Economía Ecológica en España 01_2011, Asociación de Economía Ecológica en España.
    6. Fracasso, Andrea & Sartori, Martina & Schiavo, Stefano, 2014. "Determinants of virtual water flows in the Mediterranean," MPRA Paper 60500, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Gawel, Erik & Bernsen, Kristina, 2011. "What is wrong with virtual water trading?," UFZ Discussion Papers 1/2011, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research (UFZ), Division of Social Sciences (ÖKUS).
    8. Marta Antonelli & Martina Sartori, 2014. "Unfolding the Potential of the Virtual Water Concept. What is still under debate?," IEFE Working Papers 74, IEFE, Center for Research on Energy and Environmental Economics and Policy, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
    9. Mehran Hekmatnia & Ahmad Fatahi Ardakani & Amir Isanezhad & Hamidreza Monibi, 2024. "A novel classification of virtual water trade for the sustainability of global freshwater resources," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(3), pages 7377-7408, March.
    10. Berrittella, Maria & Rehdanz, Katrin & Roson, Roberto & Tol, Richard S.J., 2007. "The Economic Impact of Water Taxes: A Computable General Equilibrium Analysis with an International Data Set," Conference papers 331655, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    11. Yang, Hong & Wang, Lei & Zehnder, Alexander J.B., 2007. "Water scarcity and food trade in the Southern and Eastern Mediterranean countries," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 32(5-6), pages 585-605.
    12. Dennis Wichelns, 2010. "Virtual Water: A Helpful Perspective, but not a Sufficient Policy Criterion," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2203-2219, August.
    13. de Fraiture, Charlotte & Wichelns, D. & Rockstrom, J. & Kemp-Benedict, E. & Eriyagama, Nishadi & Gordon, L. J. & Hanjra, M. A. & Hoogeveen, J. & Huber-Lee, A. & Karlberg, L., 2007. "Looking ahead to 2050: scenarios of alternative investment approaches," Book Chapters,, International Water Management Institute.
    14. Molden, David & Oweis, T. Y. & Pasquale, S. & Kijne, Jacob W. & Hanjra, M. A. & Bindraban, P. S. & Bouman, Bas A. M. & Cook, S. & Erenstein, O. & Farahani, H. & Hachum, A. & Hoogeveen, J. & Mahoo, Hen, 2007. "Pathways for increasing agricultural water productivity," Book Chapters,, International Water Management Institute.
    15. Hoekstra, A.Y., 2009. "Human appropriation of natural capital: A comparison of ecological footprint and water footprint analysis," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(7), pages 1963-1974, May.
    16. repec:spo:wpecon:info:hdl:2441/5l6uh8ogmqildh09h2qa1ccc1 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Fracasso, Andrea, 2014. "A gravity model of virtual water trade," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 215-228.
    18. Ohrel, Sara Bushey & Choi, Suk-Won & Sohngen, Brent, 2011. "Extending the GTAP Family of Models: A Partial Equilibrium Approach to Measuring the Costs of Carbon Sequestration and Avoided Deforestation," Conference papers 332046, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    19. Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI) & International Water Management Institute (IWMI)., 2004. "Water – more nutrition per drop: towards sustainable food production and consumption patterns in a rapidly changing world," IWMI Research Reports H034344, International Water Management Institute.
    20. Hoekstra, Arjen, 2010. "The relation between international trade and freshwater scarcity," WTO Staff Working Papers ERSD-2010-05, World Trade Organization (WTO), Economic Research and Statistics Division.
    21. John Hoehn & Kwami Adanu, 2008. "Do growth, investment, and trade encourage water use or water conservation?," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 127-146, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:endesu:v:26:y:2024:i:12:d:10.1007_s10668-024-04507-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.