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The PPP hypothesis and structural breaks: the case of Mexico

Author

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  • Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar
  • Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària
  • Frederick Wallace

Abstract

We test the purchasing power parity hypothesis for the Mexican peso/US dollar real exchange rate using monthly data for 1969–2010. Results suggest that the real exchange rate reverts to a changing mean. These mean shifts can be explained by liberalization policies implemented during the 1980s and 1990s that reduced trade barriers in the Mexican economy. Such policies modified the tradable/non-tradable goods composition of the price index producing mean shifts in the real exchange rate associated with PPP. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2013

Suggested Citation

  • Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & Frederick Wallace, 2013. "The PPP hypothesis and structural breaks: the case of Mexico," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 1351-1359, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:empeco:v:45:y:2013:i:3:p:1351-1359
    DOI: 10.1007/s00181-012-0653-6
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Dadakas, Dimitrios & Karpetis, Christos & Tatsi, Stevi, 2021. "Trends and Structural Changes in Japanese Post-2011 Agri-Food Trade Flows," Japanese Journal of Agricultural Economics (formerly Japanese Journal of Rural Economics), Agricultural Economics Society of Japan (AESJ), vol. 23.
    2. Ahmad, Ahmad Hassan & Aworinde, Olalekan Bashir, 2016. "The role of structural breaks, nonlinearity and asymmetric adjustments in African bilateral real exchange rates," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 144-159.
    3. Wallace, Frederick, 2015. "Price Indexes are a Problem for Testing PPP," MPRA Paper 65786, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. D. Ventosa-Santaul a & M. G -Zald & F. H. Wallace, 2015. "The real exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(24), pages 2445-2454, May.
    5. Frederick H. Wallace, 2017. "Purchasing power parity in Mexico since 1933," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-18, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    PPP; Structural breaks; Mexico; Real exchange rate; F31; C22;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes

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