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Quasi purchasing power parity: Structural change in the Mexican peso/us dollar real exchange rate

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  • Antonio E. Noriega

    (Universidad de Guanajuato)

  • Lorena Medina

    (Universidad de Guanajuato)

Abstract

This paper analyzes whether the real exchange-rate of the Mexican peso/US dollar revert to a long-run equilibrium value, and whether this value is unique. We use a method for testing stationarity, that allows for an unknown number of structural breaks in the level of the series. Using a long span of annual data covering the period 1925-1994, our results provide evidence favouring long-run Quasi-Purchasing Power Parity. In particular, we find that the real peso/dollar exchange rate has fluctuated stationarily around a 70 year long-run level, perturbed by a series of events, both domestic and external, in or around 1981.

Suggested Citation

  • Antonio E. Noriega & Lorena Medina, 2003. "Quasi purchasing power parity: Structural change in the Mexican peso/us dollar real exchange rate," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 18(2), pages 227-236.
    • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:18:y:2003:i:2:p:227-236
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Mario Gómez Aguirre & José Carlos A. Rodríguez Chávez, 2012. "Análisis de la paridad del poder de compra: evidencia empírica entre México y Estados Unidos," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 27(1), pages 169-207.
    2. HOLMES, Mark J, 2008. "Non-Linear Trend Stationarity And Co-Trending In Latin American Real Exchange Rates," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 8(1), pages 107-118.
    3. Pedro Isaac Chávez López, 2014. "Paridad de poder de compra, cambios estructurales y memoria larga: una aplicación para el caso de México," Graduate theses (Spanish) TESG001, CIDE, División de Economía.
    4. Arne Kildegaard, 2006. "Fundamentals of real exchange rate determination: What role in the peso crisis?," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 21(1), pages 3-22.
    5. Astorga, Pablo, 2007. "Real exchange rates in Latin America : what does the 20th century reveal?," IFCS - Working Papers in Economic History.WH wp07-03, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Instituto Figuerola.
    6. Manuel Gómez-Zaldívar & Daniel Ventosa-Santaulària & Frederick Wallace, 2013. "The PPP hypothesis and structural breaks: the case of Mexico," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 45(3), pages 1351-1359, December.
    7. D. Ventosa-Santaul a & M. G -Zald & F. H. Wallace, 2015. "The real exchange rate, regime changes and volatility shifts," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 47(24), pages 2445-2454, May.
    8. Gómez Aguirre Mario & Rodríguez Chávez José Carlos, 2013. "El efecto Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson. El caso de México," Contaduría y Administración, Accounting and Management, vol. 58(3), pages 121-147, julio-sep.
    9. Frederick H. Wallace, 2017. "Purchasing power parity in Mexico since 1933," Latin American Economic Review, Springer;Centro de Investigaciòn y Docencia Económica (CIDE), vol. 26(1), pages 1-18, December.

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