IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/elcore/v20y2020i1d10.1007_s10660-019-09380-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Online dynamic group-buying community analysis based on high frequency time series simulation

Author

Listed:
  • Qing Zhu

    (Shaanxi Normal University
    Xi’an Jiaotong University)

  • Renxian Zuo

    (Shaanxi Normal University)

  • Shan Liu

    (Xi’an Jiaotong University)

  • Fan Zhang

    (Shaanxi Normal University)

Abstract

Group-buying often fails even when there are satisfactory quantities as not enough consumers join in the required time, which can waste seller, purchaser, and platform operator time resources; therefore, the group buying features require further research. Over a 3 weeks period, around 700 million click-stream records from 1,061,770 users from a stable and continuous time series were allocated to groups of 5 min frequency, and a hybrid neural network model developed to simulate group-buying behavior in four experiments, from which it was found that adding to the cart and adding as a favorite were significant group-buying behavior features, and shopping depth was the main demographic feature, but age was not. Compared with previous ambiguous online consumer feature conclusions on gender, the results revealed that the commodity feature was the main determinant for gender feature significance. The college student feature was found to be a pseudo feature, and should connect with other fixed effects such as low income or education level. This paper is the first to construct an online dynamic group-buying community, which is a new type of social network and could provide a new perspective for social commerce research. A big data neural network-based method for examining group-buying community behavior over time is proposed that can offer novel insights to online vendors for the development of targeted marketing campaigns.

Suggested Citation

  • Qing Zhu & Renxian Zuo & Shan Liu & Fan Zhang, 2020. "Online dynamic group-buying community analysis based on high frequency time series simulation," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 20(1), pages 81-118, March.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:elcore:v:20:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10660-019-09380-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s10660-019-09380-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10660-019-09380-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10660-019-09380-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zhuoxi Yu & Yanqing Wu & Zhiwen Zhao, 2016. "Quality Evaluation of Group-Buy Websites," Journal of Electronic Commerce in Organizations (JECO), IGI Global, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, January.
    2. Zhu, Jiaming & Wu, Peng & Chen, Huayou & Liu, Jinpei & Zhou, Ligang, 2019. "Carbon price forecasting with variational mode decomposition and optimal combined model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 140-158.
    3. Gerlach, Jin & Eling, Nicole & Wessels, Nora & Buxmann, Peter, 2019. "Flamingos on a Slackline: Companies’ Challenges of Balancing the Competing Demands of Handling Customer Information and Privacy," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 106582, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    4. Cao, Jian & Li, Zhi & Li, Jian, 2019. "Financial time series forecasting model based on CEEMDAN and LSTM," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 519(C), pages 127-139.
    5. Zhang, Xun & Yu, Lean & Wang, Shouyang & Lai, Kin Keung, 2009. "Estimating the impact of extreme events on crude oil price: An EMD-based event analysis method," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(5), pages 768-778, September.
    6. Ke Gong & Yi Peng & Yong Wang & Maozeng Xu, 2018. "Time series analysis for C2C conversion rate," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 18(4), pages 763-789, December.
    7. Li, Chaoshun & Xiao, Zhengguang & Xia, Xin & Zou, Wen & Zhang, Chu, 2018. "A hybrid model based on synchronous optimisation for multi-step short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C), pages 131-144.
    8. Lee, Richard J. & Sener, Ipek N. & Mokhtarian, Patricia L. & Handy, Susan L., 2017. "Relationships between the online and in-store shopping frequency of Davis, California residents," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 40-52.
    9. Ying Liu & Hong Li & Geng Peng & Benfu Lv & Chong Zhang, 2015. "Online purchaser segmentation and promotion strategy selection: evidence from Chinese E-commerce market," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 233(1), pages 263-279, October.
    10. Prateek Kalia, 2017. "Does Demographics Affect Purchase Frequency in Online Retail?," International Journal of Online Marketing (IJOM), IGI Global, vol. 7(2), pages 42-56, April.
    11. Chenxu Ke & Bo Yan & Ruofan Xu, 2017. "A group-buying mechanism for considering strategic consumer behavior," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 17(4), pages 721-752, December.
    12. Xiao-Liang Shen & Kem Z.K. Zhang & Sesia J. Zhao, 2016. "Herd behavior in consumers’ adoption of online reviews," Journal of the Association for Information Science & Technology, Association for Information Science & Technology, vol. 67(11), pages 2754-2765, November.
    13. Wu, Yu-Xi & Wu, Qing-Biao & Zhu, Jia-Qi, 2019. "Improved EEMD-based crude oil price forecasting using LSTM networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 516(C), pages 114-124.
    14. Janice Y. Tsai & Serge Egelman & Lorrie Cranor & Alessandro Acquisti, 2011. "The Effect of Online Privacy Information on Purchasing Behavior: An Experimental Study," Information Systems Research, INFORMS, vol. 22(2), pages 254-268, June.
    15. Yuansheng Huang & Shijian Liu & Lei Yang, 2018. "Wind Speed Forecasting Method Using EEMD and the Combination Forecasting Method Based on GPR and LSTM," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, October.
    16. Punj, Girish, 2011. "Effect of Consumer Beliefs on Online Purchase Behavior: The Influence of Demographic Characteristics and Consumption Values," Journal of Interactive Marketing, Elsevier, vol. 25(3), pages 134-144.
    17. Bangwool Han & Minho Kim, 2019. "Hofstede’s Collectivistic Values and Sustainable Growth of Online Group Buying," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-15, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Li, Hongtao & Bai, Juncheng & Li, Yongwu, 2019. "A novel secondary decomposition learning paradigm with kernel extreme learning machine for multi-step forecasting of container throughput," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 534(C).
    2. Jin, Feng & Li, Yongwu & Sun, Shaolong & Li, Hongtao, 2020. "Forecasting air passenger demand with a new hybrid ensemble approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    3. Min Liu & Wei‐Chong Choo & Chi‐Chuan Lee & Chien‐Chiang Lee, 2023. "Trading volume and realized volatility forecasting: Evidence from the China stock market," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(1), pages 76-100, January.
    4. Liu, Hui & Chen, Chao, 2019. "Data processing strategies in wind energy forecasting models and applications: A comprehensive review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 392-408.
    5. Li, Jingmiao & Wang, Jun, 2020. "Forcasting of energy futures market and synchronization based on stochastic gated recurrent unit model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    6. Wu, Junhao & Dong, Jinghan & Wang, Zhaocai & Hu, Yuan & Dou, Wanting, 2023. "A novel hybrid model based on deep learning and error correction for crude oil futures prices forecast," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    7. Xie, Gang & Qian, Yatong & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "A decomposition-ensemble approach for tourism forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    8. Lin, Yu & Yan, Yan & Xu, Jiali & Liao, Ying & Ma, Feng, 2021. "Forecasting stock index price using the CEEMDAN-LSTM model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 57(C).
    9. Cheng, Junjun & Chen, Bo & Huang, Zihang, 2023. "Collective-based ad transparency in targeted hotel advertising: Consumers’ regulatory focus underlying the crowd safety effect," Journal of Retailing and Consumer Services, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    10. Bridgelall, Raj & Stubbing, Edward, 2021. "Forecasting the effects of autonomous vehicles on land use," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    11. Shi, Changfeng & Zhi, Jiaqi & Yao, Xiao & Zhang, Hong & Yu, Yue & Zeng, Qingshun & Li, Luji & Zhang, Yuxi, 2023. "How can China achieve the 2030 carbon peak goal—a crossover analysis based on low-carbon economics and deep learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    12. Potoglou, Dimitris & Palacios, Juan & Feijoo, Claudio & Gómez Barroso, Jose-Luis, 2015. "The supply of personal information: A study on the determinants of information provision in e-commerce scenarios," 26th European Regional ITS Conference, Madrid 2015 127174, International Telecommunications Society (ITS).
    13. Jie Wu & Zhixin Chen & Xiang Ji, 2020. "Sustainable trade promotion decisions under demand disruption in manufacturer-retailer supply chains," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 290(1), pages 115-143, July.
    14. Liu, Xiaolei & Lin, Zi & Feng, Ziming, 2021. "Short-term offshore wind speed forecast by seasonal ARIMA - A comparison against GRU and LSTM," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    15. Qingyuan Wang & Longnv Huang & Jiehui Huang & Qiaoan Liu & Limin Chen & Yin Liang & Peter X. Liu & Chunquan Li, 2022. "A Hybrid Generative Adversarial Network Model for Ultra Short-Term Wind Speed Prediction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-16, July.
    16. Jacopo Arpetti & Antonio Iovanella, 2019. "Towards more effective consumer steering via network analysis," Papers 1903.11469, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2019.
    17. G. Rejikumar & Aswathy Asokan-Ajitha & Sofi Dinesh & Ajay Jose, 2022. "The role of cognitive complexity and risk aversion in online herd behavior," Electronic Commerce Research, Springer, vol. 22(2), pages 585-621, June.
    18. Gao, Feng & Shao, Xueyan, 2022. "A novel interval decomposition ensemble model for interval carbon price forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    19. Donghua Wang & Tianhui Fang, 2022. "Forecasting Crude Oil Prices with a WT-FNN Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-21, March.
    20. Jingjing Wu & Yiwei Chen & Lin Hu & Anxin Xu, 2022. "Influence Factors on Consumers’ Instant Cross-buying under Supermarkets’ Cross-border Integration: From the Perspective of the Elaboration Likelihood Model," SAGE Open, , vol. 12(3), pages 21582440221, September.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:elcore:v:20:y:2020:i:1:d:10.1007_s10660-019-09380-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.