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Aggregate and regional house price to earnings ratio dynamics in the UK

Author

Listed:
  • Andros Gregoriou

    (Hull University, UK)

  • Alexandros Kontonikas

    (University of Glasgow, UK)

  • Alberto Montagnoli

    (University of Sheffield, UK)

Abstract

This paper examines the time-series properties of house price to earnings ratio (HPER) in the UK using aggregate and regional data. Specifically, we utilise a series of unit root tests to examine the null hypothesis of nonstationary HPERs. These include linear tests as well as a nonlinear test and also a test which accounts for abrupt structural change. The results are against the notion of stationary HPERs. This implies that house prices may permanently diverge from earnings.

Suggested Citation

  • Andros Gregoriou & Alexandros Kontonikas & Alberto Montagnoli, 2014. "Aggregate and regional house price to earnings ratio dynamics in the UK," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 51(13), pages 2916-2927, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:urbstu:v:51:y:2014:i:13:p:2916-2927
    DOI: 10.1177/0042098013506063
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Montagnoli, Alberto & Nagayasu, Jun, 2015. "UK house price convergence clubs and spillovers," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 50-58.
    2. David Gray, 2020. "An international housing market in the British Isles: Evidence from business and medium-term cycles using a Friedman test," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 57(2), pages 307-322, February.
    3. David Gray, 2022. "Do house price-earnings ratios in England and Wales follow a power law? An application of Lavalette’s law to district data," Environment and Planning B, , vol. 49(4), pages 1184-1196, May.
    4. Ellington, Michael & Fu, Xi & Zhu, Yunyi, 2023. "Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72.

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