IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/envira/v25y1993i10p1481-1510.html

Approaches to Modelling Overdispersion in the Analysis of Migration

Author

Listed:
  • P Congdon

    (Department of Geography, Queen Mary and Westfield College, Mile End Road, London E1 4NS, England)

Abstract

In this paper the modelling of overdispersion in generalised Poisson and multinomial models of migration flows and rates is considered, and its importance within the wider question of substantive model specification is shown. It is argued that substantive specification and the modelling of overdispersion are closely interrelated. Simplified ways of estimating the form of overdispersion—moments methods and pseudo-likelihood—are considered wherever possible. Overdispersion is set within the broader context of correlation effects which relate to migration—correlation across different destinations, between spatially adjacent origins and destinations, and between different time periods. The data used to illustrate the modelling development are drawn from the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys Longitudinal Study, the decennial Census, and the National Health Service Central Register.

Suggested Citation

  • P Congdon, 1993. "Approaches to Modelling Overdispersion in the Analysis of Migration," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 25(10), pages 1481-1510, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:25:y:1993:i:10:p:1481-1510
    DOI: 10.1068/a251481
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1068/a251481
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1068/a251481?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Richard Jackman & S Savouri, 1991. "Regional Migration in Britain: An Analysis of Gross Flows using NHS Central Register Data," CEP Discussion Papers dp0027, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    2. Gourieroux, Christian & Monfort, Alain & Trognon, Alain, 1984. "Pseudo Maximum Likelihood Methods: Applications to Poisson Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 701-720, May.
    3. A. Colin Cameron & Pravin K. Trivedi, 1986. "Econometric models based on count data. Comparisons and applications of some estimators and tests," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 1(1), pages 29-53, January.
    4. Stuart J. Pocock & Derek G. Cook & Shirley A. A. Beresford, 1981. "Regression of Area Mortality Rates on Expalanatory Variables: What Weighting is Appropriate?," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 30(3), pages 286-295, November.
    5. Cushing, Brian J, 1989. "Use and Misuse of the Allocation Rate in Models of Population Migration," The Annals of Regional Science, Springer;Western Regional Science Association, vol. 23(1), pages 51-58.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ron Cheung, 2005. "The Effect of Property Tax Limitations on Residential Private Governments," Working Papers wp2005_05_01, Department of Economics, Florida State University.
    2. Carlo Devillanova & Walter García-Fontes, 2004. "Migration across Spanish provinces: evidence from the social security records (1978-1992)," Investigaciones Economicas, Fundación SEPI, vol. 28(3), pages 461-487, September.
    3. Yongwan Chun, 2008. "Modeling network autocorrelation within migration flows by eigenvector spatial filtering," Journal of Geographical Systems, Springer, vol. 10(4), pages 317-344, December.
    4. Adam Crymble & Adam Dennett & Tim Hitchcock, 2018. "Modelling regional imbalances in English plebeian migration to late eighteenth‐century London†," Economic History Review, Economic History Society, vol. 71(3), pages 747-771, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Christian Gouriéroux & Alain Monfort, 1997. "Modèles de comptage semi-paramétriques," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 73(1), pages 525-550.
    2. Jeffrey Englin & Klaus Moeltner, 2004. "The Value of Snowfall to Skiers and Boarders," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 29(1), pages 123-136, September.
    3. Qian Chen & David E. Giles, 2009. "Finite-Sample Properties of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator for the Poisson Regression Model With Random Covariates," Econometrics Working Papers 0907, Department of Economics, University of Victoria.
    4. Weining Wang & Jeffrey M. Wooldridge & Mengshan Xu & Cuicui Lu & Chaowen Zheng, 2025. "Using generalized estimating equations to estimate nonlinear models with spatial data," Econometric Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(2), pages 214-242, February.
    5. Baptista, Rui & Swann, Peter, 1998. "Do firms in clusters innovate more?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 27(5), pages 525-540, September.
    6. Georges Dionne & Olfa Ghali, 2005. "The (1992) Bonus‐Malus System in Tunisia: An Empirical Evaluation," Journal of Risk & Insurance, The American Risk and Insurance Association, vol. 72(4), pages 609-633, December.
    7. William Greene, 2007. "Correlation in Bivariate Poisson Regression Model," Working Papers 07-14, New York University, Leonard N. Stern School of Business, Department of Economics.
    8. Konstantinos Drakos & Andreas Gofas, 2006. "In Search Of The Average Transnational Terrorist Attack Venue," Defence and Peace Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(2), pages 73-93.
    9. Bauer, Thomas K. & Million, Andreas & Rotte, Ralph & Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1998. "Immigration Labor and Workplace Safety," IZA Discussion Papers 16, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Frank T. Rothaermel & Andrew M. Hess, 2007. "Building Dynamic Capabilities: Innovation Driven by Individual-, Firm-, and Network-Level Effects," Organization Science, INFORMS, vol. 18(6), pages 898-921, December.
    11. Rothaermel, Frank T. & Thursby, Marie, 2007. "The nanotech versus the biotech revolution: Sources of productivity in incumbent firm research," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(6), pages 832-849, July.
    12. Ronald S Wall & Martijn J Burger & G A (Bert) van der Knaap, 2011. "The Geography of Global Corporate Networks: The Poor, the Rich, and the Happy Few Countries," Environment and Planning A, , vol. 43(4), pages 904-927, April.
    13. George Papachristou, 2004. "The British gambler's fallacy," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(18), pages 2073-2077.
    14. Mello, Marco & Moscelli, Giuseppe, 2022. "Voting, contagion and the trade-off between public health and political rights: Quasi-experimental evidence from the Italian 2020 polls," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 200(C), pages 1025-1052.
    15. Dionne, G. & Laberge-Nadeau, C. & Desjardins, D. & Messier, S. & Maag, U., 1998. "Analysis of the Economic Impact of Medical and Optometric Driving Standards on Costs Incured by Trucking Firms and on the Social Costs of Traffic Accidents," Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales de Montreal- 98-06, Ecole des Hautes Etudes Commerciales de Montreal-Chaire de gestion des risques..
    16. Edgar Ventura Neyra & Gabriel Rodríguez, 2015. "Explaining the Determinants of the Frequency of Exchange Rate Interventions in Peru Using Count Models," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 61(3), pages 261-292.
    17. Raschke, Christian & Greene, William H., 2010. "Corrigendum to "Functional forms for the negative binomial model for count data" [Economics Letters 99 (2008) 585-590]," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 107(2), pages 313-313, May.
    18. Teratanavat, Ratapol P. & Hooker, Neal H. & Salin, Victoria, 2003. "Exploring Meat And Poultry Recall Data For Policy Lessons," 2003 Annual meeting, July 27-30, Montreal, Canada 22142, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
    19. Martijn Burger & Frank van Oort & Gert-Jan Linders, 2009. "On the Specification of the Gravity Model of Trade: Zeros, Excess Zeros and Zero-inflated Estimation," Spatial Economic Analysis, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(2), pages 167-190.
    20. Karine Moschetti & Véra Zabrodina & Pierre Stadelmann & Tenzin Wangmo & Alberto Holly & Jean-Blaise Wasserfallen & Bernice S Elger & Bruno Gravier, 2017. "Exploring differences in healthcare utilization of prisoners in the Canton of Vaud, Switzerland," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(10), pages 1-15, October.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:envira:v:25:y:1993:i:10:p:1481-1510. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.