Assessing potential reductions of agricultural GHG in countries with different land productivities: Long-term integrated efficiency in DEA hybrid meta-frontier model

Globally, the agricultural sector is responsible for the emission of ca. 9.3 gigatons of CO2 equivalent annually. A realistic efficiency model orientation, considering agricultural policy objectives in a given region of the world, is a crucial premise for finding the optimal path for achieving global targets of emission reduction. The main objective of this article is to assess agricultural greenhouse gases (GHG) potential reductions in countries with different farming productivity accounting for food security and economic performance of agricultural sector. The analysis focuses on non-radial slack that, theoretically, may be easily reduced by the improvement in available resource management. The DEA-based hybrid super-efficiency meta frontier model with undesirable output was employed, using the efficiency approach integrating three sustainability dimensions. The dataset consisted of data from 99 countries (2005–2018) divided into clusters. Several potential model orientations were tested and discussed with regard to agricultural policy objectives. It was found that by reducing slacks, agricultural emissions can be decreased by 0.74 Gt of CO2eq per year. Hence, removing only management inefficiencies would help achieve up to 80% of the global reduction targets in agriculture without a substantial technological change. However, the efficiency change component turned out to be mainly negative over the period studied; thus, a specific focus on agricultural policy is needed in terms of supporting farmers with a more rational use of their resources.