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To bat or not to bat: An examination of match outcomes in day-night limited overs cricket

Author

Listed:
  • P Dawson

    (University of Bath)

  • B Morley

    (University of Bath)

  • D Paton

    (Nottingham University Business School)

  • D Thomas

    (University of Wales Aberystwyth, Aberystwyth)

Abstract

The tradition of tossing a coin to decide who bats first in a cricket match introduces a randomly assigned advantage to one team that is unique in sporting contests. The potential importance of the toss rule in determining cricket match results has been the subject of some investigation, which is further advanced in this paper that utilizes a data set relating to the increasingly popular, but contentious, day-night form of limited overs cricket as played at international level. We employ logit regression models to examine the effects of winning the toss and choice of batting order on the likelihood of a match victory, while controlling for home advantage and (relative) team quality. Our findings suggest that winning the toss and batting first increases the probability of winning whereas winning the toss and bowling first does not.

Suggested Citation

  • P Dawson & B Morley & D Paton & D Thomas, 2009. "To bat or not to bat: An examination of match outcomes in day-night limited overs cricket," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(12), pages 1786-1793, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:pal:jorsoc:v:60:y:2009:i:12:d:10.1057_jors.2008.135
    DOI: 10.1057/jors.2008.135
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    3. Subhasish M. Chowdhury & Sarah Jewell & Carl Singleton, 2023. "Can Awareness Reduce (and Reverse) Identity-driven Bias in Judgement? Evidence from International Cricket," Working Papers 2023017, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
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