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Manufacturing in Structural Change in Africa

Author

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  • Nguimkeu,Pierre
  • Zeufack,Albert G.

Abstract

This paper investigates the scale, causes, and timing of significant episodes of industrialization and deindustrialization in Sub-Saharan Africa. Recent studies have argued that the turning point of manufacturing output and employment shares tends to occur prematurely in this region. The analysis is performed using panel data methods for fractional responses and data from a variety of sources for a panel of 41 African countries. The results overwhelmingly do not support the common finding that Sub-Saharan African countries have begun to deindustrialize. Moreover, the study documents meaningful heterogeneity across Sub-Saharan Africa subregions, with the Southern region being the only subregion to have witnessed deindustrialization. However, this deindustrialization of the Southern subregion does not appear to be occurring prematurely. The study also explores the potential role of the Dutch disease and resource curse hypotheses in understanding Sub-Saharan Africa's manufacturing experience in resource rich countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Nguimkeu,Pierre & Zeufack,Albert G., 2019. "Manufacturing in Structural Change in Africa," Policy Research Working Paper Series 8992, The World Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:wbk:wbrwps:8992
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    Cited by:

    1. Asongu, Simplice A. & Bouanza, Jean R.F.K. & Agyemang-Mintah, Peter, 2024. "Globalization in lifelong gender inclusive education for structural transformation in Africa," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(4).
    2. Tii N. Nchofoung & Simplice A. Asongu & Vanessa S. Tchamyou, 2021. "The political implication of women and industrialisation in Africa," Research Africa Network Working Papers 21/072, Research Africa Network (RAN).
    3. Mensah, Emmanuel B., 2020. "Is sub-Saharan Africa deindustrializing?," MERIT Working Papers 2020-045, United Nations University - Maastricht Economic and Social Research Institute on Innovation and Technology (MERIT).
    4. Naudé, Wim & Tregenna, Fiona, 2023. "Africa's Industrialization Prospects: A Fresh Look," IZA Discussion Papers 16043, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. Hagen Kruse & Emmanuel Mensah & Kunal Sen & Gaaitzen de Vries, 2021. "A manufacturing renaissance? Industrialization trends in the developing world," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2021-28, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    6. Nxumalo, Mpumelelo Author-Name: Raju, Dhushyanth, "undated". "Structural Transformation and Labor Market Performance in Ghana," Jobs Group Papers, Notes, and Guides 154568, The World Bank.
    7. Yselle F. Malah Kuete & Simplice A. Asongu, 2023. "Infrastructure Development as a Prerequisite for Structural Change in Africa," Journal of the Knowledge Economy, Springer;Portland International Center for Management of Engineering and Technology (PICMET), vol. 14(2), pages 1386-1412, June.
    8. Sahel, Wissal & El Abbassi, Idriss, 2025. "Structural change in Morocco: Rethinking industrial policies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 412-426.
    9. Naudé, Wim, 2019. "Three Varieties of Africa’s Industrial Future," IZA Discussion Papers 12678, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    10. Djeunankan, Ronald & Tadadjeu, Sosson & Kamguia, Brice, 2024. "Linking energy poverty and industrialization: Empirical evidence from African countries," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).

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