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Financial Liberalisation and Currency Demand in Zambia

  • Adam, Christopher

This paper examines the impact of exchange rate and financial sector liberalisation measures implemented in the early 1990s on the private sector's demand for base money in Zambia. Using time-series data I show how the removal of controls on asset markets led to a permanent shift in the demand for narrow money. Linked with an increase in forecast volatility, this structural break appears to have undermined the efficacy of money-based stabilisation efforts in Zambia. Copyright 1999 by Oxford University Press.

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Article provided by Centre for the Study of African Economies (CSAE) in its journal Journal of African Economies.

Volume (Year): 8 (1999)
Issue (Month): 3 (October)
Pages: 268-306

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Handle: RePEc:oup:jafrec:v:8:y:1999:i:3:p:268-306
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  1. Jose De Gregorio & Peter Wickham & Patricio Arrau & Carmen Reinhart, 1991. "The Demand for Money in Developing Countries: Assessing the Role of Financial innovation," IMF Working Papers 91/45, International Monetary Fund.
  2. Barr, D G & Cuthbertson, Keith, 1991. "Neoclassical Consumer Demand Theory and the Demand for Money," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 101(407), pages 855-76, July.
  3. Hansen, Bruce E., 1992. "Testing for parameter instability in linear models," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 14(4), pages 517-533, August.
  4. Dolado, Juan J & Jenkinson, Tim & Sosvilla-Rivero, Simon, 1990. " Cointegration and Unit Roots," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(3), pages 249-73.
  5. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-72, June.
  6. Adam, Christopher, 1995. "Fiscal adjustment, financial liberalization, and the dynamics of inflation: Some evidence from Zambia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 23(5), pages 735-750, May.
  7. Johansen, Soren, 1995. "Likelihood-Based Inference in Cointegrated Vector Autoregressive Models," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198774501, July.
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