IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nwe/eajour/y2025i2p378-403.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Empirical Analysis of the Determinants of Structural Transformation in the MENA Region

Author

Listed:
  • Foued Badr Gabsi

    (Faculty of Economics and Management of Sfax, LED, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia)

  • Nihel Frikha

    (Faculty of Economics and Management of Sfax, LED, University of Sfax, Sfax, Tunisia)

Abstract

The purpose of this article is to establish an empirical link between the determinants of structural change and a set of economic variables proposed in theoretical and empirical literature. Our prediction was for structural change due to the diversification and sophistication of exportation. To do this, we use a generalized method of the moments dynamic panel regression technique to identify the key fundamentals of export sophistication and diversification in certain economies in the Middle East and North Africa region over the period 2000–2017. Empirical findings show a positive relationship between export sophistication and foreign direct investment, financial openness, human capital, infrastructure, and institutional quality. At the same time, there is a positive link between diversification, trade openness, human capital, population, and infrastructure. Nevertheless, the results suggest that countries in the MENA region must put in place policies that focus on developing human capital and strengthening education, facilitating all forms of trade and transactions, and improving the quality of their institutions.

Suggested Citation

  • Foued Badr Gabsi & Nihel Frikha, 2025. "Empirical Analysis of the Determinants of Structural Transformation in the MENA Region," Economic Alternatives, University of National and World Economy, Sofia, Bulgaria, issue 2, pages 378-403, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:nwe:eajour:y:2025:i:2:p:378-403
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.unwe.bg/doi/eajournal/2025.2/EA.2025.2.05.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David Cuberes & Michał Jerzmanowski, 2009. "Democracy, Diversification and Growth Reversals," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(540), pages 1270-1302, October.
    2. Mohamed Saadi, 2020. "Remittance Inflows and Export Complexity: New Evidence from Developing and Emerging Countries," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(12), pages 2266-2292, December.
    3. Brice Kamguia & Manuella Ndjakwa & Sosson Tadadjeu, 2023. "Does infrastructural development foster export upgrading in Africa?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 35(1), pages 79-94, March.
    4. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2019. "Aid for trade and export diversification in recipient‐countries," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 42(2), pages 396-418, February.
    5. Chenery, Hollis & Taylor, Lance, 1968. "Development Patterns: Among Countries And Over Time," Center for International Affairs (CIA) Archive 294545, Harvard University, Center for International Affairs.
    6. Manuel R. Agosin & Roberto Alvarez & Claudio Bravo‐Ortega, 2012. "Determinants of Export Diversification Around the World: 1962–2000," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 35(3), pages 295-315, March.
    7. Trung V. Vu, 2022. "Does institutional quality foster economic complexity? The fundamental drivers of productive capabilities," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 63(3), pages 1571-1604, September.
    8. Aleksandra Parteka & Massimo Tamberi, 2013. "What Determines Export Diversification in the Development Process? Empirical Assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(6), pages 807-826, June.
    9. Torfinn Harding & Beata Smarzynska Javorcik & Beata Smarzynska Javorcik, 2009. "A Touch of Sophistication: FDI and Unit Values of Exports," CESifo Working Paper Series 2865, CESifo.
    10. Michel De Vroey, 1997. "Le concept de chômage involontaire : de Keynes aux nouveaux keynésiens," Revue Économique, Programme National Persée, vol. 48(6), pages 1381-1408.
    11. David Hummels & Peter J. Klenow, 2005. "The Variety and Quality of a Nation's Exports," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 95(3), pages 704-723, June.
    12. Makhlouf, Yousef & Kellard, Neil M. & Vinogradov, Dmitri, 2015. "Trade openness, export diversification, and political regimes," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 25-27.
    13. Manuel Heredia Caldeira Cabral & Paula Veiga, 2010. "Determinants of export diversification and sophistication in sub-saharan Africa," Nova SBE Working Paper Series wp550, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Nova School of Business and Economics.
    14. Vu, K.M., 2017. "Structural change and economic growth: Empirical evidence and policy insights from Asian economies," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 64-77.
    15. Allen Dennis & Ben Shepherd, 2011. "Trade Facilitation and Export Diversification," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(1), pages 101-122, January.
    16. Jinran Chen & Lijuan Xie, 2019. "Industrial policy, structural transformation and economic growth: evidence from China," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 13(1), pages 1-19, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sèna K. Gnangnon, 2021. "Aid for Trade and services export diversification in recipient countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 60(2), pages 189-225, June.
    2. Cieślik, Andrzej & Parteka, Aleksandra, 2021. "Relative Productivity, Country Size and Export Diversification," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 28-44.
    3. Mora, Jesse & Olabisi, Michael, 2023. "Economic development and export diversification: The role of trade costs," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 102-118.
    4. Coniglio, Nicola D. & Vurchio, Davide & Cantore, Nicola & Clara, Michele, 2021. "On the evolution of comparative advantage: Path-dependent versus path-defying changes," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Yuxin Lu & Joanna Wolszczak‐Derlacz, 2024. "The Belt and Road Initiative and export variety: 1996–2019," Asian-Pacific Economic Literature, The Crawford School, The Australian National University, vol. 38(1), pages 171-203, May.
    6. Tim Vogel, 2025. "Combining the pieces: identifying key determinants of export diversification in Africa amidst model uncertainty," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 161(1), pages 257-307, February.
    7. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2022. "Effect of the utilization of non-reciprocal trade preferences offered by the QUAD countries on beneficiary countries' economic complexity," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    8. Sèna Kimm Gnangnon, 2021. "Development aid and services export diversification," International Journal of Economic Policy Studies, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 125-156, February.
    9. Ben Saad, Myriam & Brahim, Mariem & Schaffar, Alexandra & Guesmi, Khaled & Ben Saad, Rym, 2023. "Economic complexity, diversification and economic development: The strategic factors," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    10. Parteka, Aleksandra, 2020. "What drives cross-country differences in export variety? A bilateral panel approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 48-56.
    11. Ibrahim Alshomaly & Walid Shawaqfeh, 2020. "The Effect of Export Diversification on the Economic Growth of West-Asian Arab Countries," Journal of Social Sciences (COES&RJ-JSS), , vol. 9(2), pages 429-450, April.
    12. Giray Gözgör & Muhlis Can, 2017. "Causal Linkages among the Product Diversification of Exports, Economic Globalization and Economic Growth," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(3), pages 888-908, August.
    13. Gnangnon, Sèna Kimm, 2020. "Aid for Trade, Export Product Diversification and Import Product Diversification," EconStor Preprints 223021, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
    14. Lectard, Pauline & Rougier, Eric, 2018. "Can Developing Countries Gain from Defying Comparative Advantage? Distance to Comparative Advantage, Export Diversification and Sophistication, and the Dynamics of Specialization," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 102(C), pages 90-110.
    15. Aleksandra Parteka & Massimo Tamberi, 2013. "What Determines Export Diversification in the Development Process? Empirical Assessment," The World Economy, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(6), pages 807-826, June.
    16. Roberto Basile & Aleksandra Parteka & Rosanna Pittiglio, 2018. "Export diversification and economic development: A dynamic spatial data analysis," Review of International Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 26(3), pages 634-650, August.
    17. Parteka, Aleksandra & Tamberi, Massimo, 2013. "Product diversification, relative specialisation and economic development: Import–export analysis," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 38(PA), pages 121-135.
    18. Ignacio del Rosal, 2019. "Export Diversification And Export Performance By Destination Country," Bulletin of Economic Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 71(1), pages 58-74, January.
    19. Clement ANNE, 2016. "Are Commodity Price Booms an Opportunity to Diversify? Evidence from Resource-dependent Countries," Working Papers 201615, CERDI.
    20. Valentine, Soumtang Bime & Itchoko Motande, Mondjeli Mwa Ndjokou & Salim Ahmed, Vessah Mbouombouo, 2024. "Revisiting natural resources and economic complexity nexus: Does financial development matter in developing countries?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nwe:eajour:y:2025:i:2:p:378-403. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Vanya Lazarova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/unweebg.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.