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Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies on Credit Surge and Stop Episodes

Author

Listed:
  • Mehmet Fatih Ekinci

    (Atilim University, Kizilcasar Mahallesi)

  • Turalay Kenc

    (The Inceif University)

  • Unay Tamgac Tezcan

    (University of California Santa Cruz
    TOBB University of Economics and Technology)

Abstract

When faced with capital flow and credit growth waves in recent years, policymakers have relied upon macroprudential regulation. This paper sheds light on a relatively less-analyzed policy issue: how macroprudential regulatory measures mitigate extreme credit growth episodes. We use a dynamic panel data approach to estimate the impact of MaPPs on credit growth volatility and the likelihood of credit growth boom and bust episodes. We find that MaPPs reduce credit growth volatility in both advanced economies (AEs) and emerging market economies (EMEs). In addition, MaPPs help to prevent credit surges in EMEs and stops in AEs. Our results show that there is a strong link between net capital flows and credit growth stop episodes. Net capital flow surges trigger a credit surge for EMEs. This suggests that policymakers should consider both MaPPs and capital flow management measures when designing policies to mitigate the risks associated with these phenomena.

Suggested Citation

  • Mehmet Fatih Ekinci & Turalay Kenc & Unay Tamgac Tezcan, 2024. "Effectiveness of Macroprudential Policies on Credit Surge and Stop Episodes," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 35(5), pages 1085-1113, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:openec:v:35:y:2024:i:5:d:10.1007_s11079-023-09744-3
    DOI: 10.1007/s11079-023-09744-3
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    JEL classification:

    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F34 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Lending and Debt Problems
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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