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Identifying the implementation effect of technology transfer policy using system dynamics: a case study in Liaoning, China

Author

Listed:
  • Zhenxu Guo

    (Central South University)

  • Jiarui Shen

    (Shenyang Jianzhu University)

  • Lihong Li

    (Shenyang Jianzhu University)

Abstract

Given that technology transfer provides an important boost for promoting national economic development, technology transfer policy (TTP) has attracted more and more attention from academia and industry. The government issued many policies. However, the implementation effect of TTP still needs to be clarified. This study is carried out from the progressive level of “text content-influence path-implementation effect.’’ It aims to adopt a systematic analysis method to analyze policy tools and policy implementation stages, then builds a conceptual framework of the influence path of TTP. Then the relationship between variables in the qualitative model was clarified, and the system dynamics (SD) model was used to build a quantitative model with four feedback loops. Finally, taking Liaoning, China as an example, the system simulation and sensitivity analysis of the main parameters are implemented in Vensim PLE. Different policy tools have different roles in the TTP impact stages of research, transfer, and industrialization. Based on the data of 2013–1019, the SD model constructed in this paper can be used to predict the implementation effect of TTP during 2020–2015. Simulation and sensitivity analysis results provide practical enlightenment for government departments to improve the implementation effect of the existing TTP. This study also provides other researchers with a systematic understanding for improving the implementation effect of TTP with a "text content-influence path-implementation effect" conduction chain and provides new insights for further research on TTP.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhenxu Guo & Jiarui Shen & Lihong Li, 2024. "Identifying the implementation effect of technology transfer policy using system dynamics: a case study in Liaoning, China," The Journal of Technology Transfer, Springer, vol. 49(2), pages 660-688, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:kap:jtecht:v:49:y:2024:i:2:d:10.1007_s10961-022-09989-z
    DOI: 10.1007/s10961-022-09989-z
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    Keywords

    Technology transfer policy; Implementation effect; System dynamics; Policy simulation; Sensitivity analysis;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • L24 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Contracting Out; Joint Ventures
    • L26 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Entrepreneurship
    • L38 - Industrial Organization - - Nonprofit Organizations and Public Enterprise - - - Public Policy
    • O31 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Innovation and Invention: Processes and Incentives
    • O32 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Management of Technological Innovation and R&D
    • O38 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - Government Policy

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