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An Investigation into the Impact of Previous Expert Value Estimates on Appraisal Judgment

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Abstract

Is appraisal judgment influenced by the previous value estimates of other experts? This paper documents an investigation into this question. The literatures on appraisal smoothing and heuristic anchoring were explored to build a theoretical and empirical base. Research methods involved asking apprentice and expert appraisers, some supplied with the previous value estimate of an anonymous expert, to estimate the value of a vacant tract of industrial land. The strong support expected for the contention that appraisers are influenced by the previous value judgments of anonymous experts was not found. Whereas differences between the groups supplied with the previous value estimate and those who were not were in the direction consistent with anchoring, these results were not statistically significant, suggesting that anchoring may be more subtle than generally believed.

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  • Julian Diaz, III, 1997. "An Investigation into the Impact of Previous Expert Value Estimates on Appraisal Judgment," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 13(1), pages 57-66.
    • Handle: RePEc:jre:issued:v:13:n:1:1997:p:57-66
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    2. Richard A. Graff & Michael S. Young, 1999. "The Magnitude of Random Appraisal Error in Commercial Real Estate Valuation," Journal of Real Estate Research, American Real Estate Society, vol. 17(1), pages 33-54.
    3. Chang, Chuang-Chang & Chao, Ching-Hsiang & Yeh, Jin-Huei, 2016. "The role of buy-side anchoring bias: Evidence from the real estate market," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 34-58.
    4. William G. Hardin & Xiaoquan Jiang & Zhonghua Wu, 2017. "Inflation Illusion, Expertise and Commercial Real Estate," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 55(3), pages 345-369, October.
    5. Patrick Krieger & Carsten Lausberg, 2021. "Entscheidungen, Entscheidungsfindung und Entscheidungsunterstützung in der Immobilienwirtschaft: Eine systematische Literaturübersicht [Decisions, decision-making and decisions support systems in r," Zeitschrift für Immobilienökonomie (German Journal of Real Estate Research), Springer;Gesellschaft für Immobilienwirtschaftliche Forschung e. V., vol. 7(1), pages 1-33, April.
    6. Shuang Liu & Johnnie E.V. Johnson, 2007. "Searching for Anchoring Effects in a Naturalistic Environment: Evidence from the Hong Kong Horserace Betting Market," Journal of Gambling Business and Economics, University of Buckingham Press, vol. 1(1), pages 69-84, February.
    7. Ytzen van der Werf & Fred Huibers, 2015. "Effect of changing valuer on real estate portfolio valuations," ERES eres2015_166, European Real Estate Society (ERES).
    8. Steven P. Devaney & Stephen L. Lee & Michael S. Young, 2007. "Serial persistence in individual real estate returns in the UK," Journal of Property Investment & Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 25(3), pages 241-273, May.
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    • L85 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services - - - Real Estate Services

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