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Anticipated Money, Unanticipated Money and Output Variations in Singapore

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  • Biswajit Maitra

Abstract

This paper examines the effectiveness of anticipated and unanticipated money in the variations of output in Singapore over the periods 1971-72 to 2007-08. The study has found that money supply and output in Singapore are cointegrated. No cointegration is found between output and anticipated money. Short-run dynamics of the cointegrated variables testifies that money supply of the immediate past period leads to rise in output. The study also examines the invariance proposition of rational expectations and found the evidence that the unanticipated part of money supply has significant role in the variations of output growth. Therefore monetary surprises may be successful in promoting output growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Biswajit Maitra, 2011. "Anticipated Money, Unanticipated Money and Output Variations in Singapore," Journal of Quantitative Economics, The Indian Econometric Society, vol. 9(1), pages 118-133.
    • Handle: RePEc:jqe:jqenew:v:9:y:2011:i:1:p:118-133
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    Cited by:

    1. Tafajul Hossain & Biswajit Maitra, 2020. "Monetary Policy, Trade Openness and Economic Growth in India Under Monetary-targeting and Multiple-indicator Approach Regimes," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 19(1), pages 108-124, June.
    2. P., Srinivasan & M., Kalaivani, 2013. "On the Temporal Causal Relationship between Macroeconomic Variables: Empirical Evidence from India," MPRA Paper 46803, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Biswajit Maitra, 2015. "Monetary Policy, Income Growth and Price Stability in Malaysia," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 4(1), pages 91-117, June.
    4. Chai-Thing Tan & Azali Mohamed & Muzafar Shah Habibullah & Lee Chin, 2020. "The Impacts of Monetary and Fiscal Policies on Economic Growth in Malaysia, Singapore and Thailand," South Asian Journal of Macroeconomics and Public Finance, , vol. 9(1), pages 114-130, June.
    5. Srinivasan Palamalai & Kalaivani Mariappan & Christopher Devakumar, 2014. "On the Temporal Causal Relationship Between Macroeconomic Variables," SAGE Open, , vol. 4(1), pages 21582440145, February.
    6. Dingela, Siyasanga & Khobai, Hlalefang, 2017. "Dynamic Impact of Money Supply on Economic Growth in South Africa. An ARDL Approach," MPRA Paper 82539, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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