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Erratum: Do Equilibrium Real Business Cycle Theories Explain Postwar US Business Cycles?

In: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2

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  • Martin Eichenbaum
  • Kenneth J. Singleton

Abstract

This paper presents and interprets some new evidence on the validity of the Real Business Cycle approach to business cycle analysis. The analysis is conducted in the context of a monetary business cycle model which makes explicit one potential link between monetary policy and real allocations. This model is used to interpret Granger causal relations between nominal and real aggregates. Perhaps the most striking empirical finding is that money growth does not Granger cause output growth in the context of several multivariate VARs and for various sample periods during the post war period in the U.S. Several possible reconciliations of this finding with both real and monetary business cycles models are discussed. We find that it is difficult to reconcile our empirical results with the view that exogenous monetary shocks were an important independent source of variation in output growth.
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Suggested Citation

  • Martin Eichenbaum & Kenneth J. Singleton, 1987. "Erratum: Do Equilibrium Real Business Cycle Theories Explain Postwar US Business Cycles?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2, pages 317-321, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:11104
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Abraham, Katharine G & Katz, Lawrence F, 1986. "Cyclical Unemployment: Sectoral Shifts or Aggregate Disturbances?," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(3), pages 507-522, June.
    2. Long, John B, Jr & Plosser, Charles I, 1983. "Real Business Cycles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(1), pages 39-69, February.
    3. Bernanke, Ben S, 1983. "Nonmonetary Effects of the Financial Crisis in Propagation of the Great Depression," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 73(3), pages 257-276, June.
    4. Lilien, David M, 1982. "Sectoral Shifts and Cyclical Unemployment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 90(4), pages 777-793, August.
    5. Martin Eichenbaum & Kenneth J. Singleton, 1987. "Erratum: Do Equilibrium Real Business Cycle Theories Explain Postwar US Business Cycles?," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1987, Volume 2, pages 317-321, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Hamilton, James D, 1983. "Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(2), pages 228-248, April.
    7. Robert Topel & Laurence Weiss, 1985. "Sectoral Uncertainty and Unemployment," UCLA Economics Working Papers 384, UCLA Department of Economics.
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