IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v12y2020i15p6272-d394274.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Predictive Insights for Improving the Resilience of Global Food Security Using Artificial Intelligence

Author

Listed:
  • Meng-Leong How

    (National Institute of Education, Nanyang Technological University, 1 Nanyang Walk, Singapore 637616, Singapore)

  • Yong Jiet Chan

    (Faculty of Education, Monash University, Australia, 29 Ancora Imparo Way, Clayton VIC 3800, Australia)

  • Sin-Mei Cheah

    (Centre for Management Practice, Singapore Management University, 81 Victoria Street, Singapore 188065, Singapore)

Abstract

Unabated pressures on food systems affect food security on a global scale. A human-centric artificial intelligence-based probabilistic approach is used in this paper to perform a unified analysis of data from the Global Food Security Index (GFSI). The significance of this intuitive probabilistic reasoning approach for predictive forecasting lies in its simplicity and user-friendliness to people who may not be trained in classical computer science or in software programming. In this approach, predictive modeling using a counterfactual probabilistic reasoning analysis of the GFSI dataset can be utilized to reveal the interplay and tensions between the variables that underlie food affordability, food availability, food quality and safety, and the resilience of natural resources. Exemplars are provided in this paper to illustrate how computational simulations can be used to produce forecasts of good and bad conditions in food security using multi-variant optimizations. The forecast of these future scenarios is useful for informing policy makers and stakeholders across domain verticals, so they can make decisions that are favorable to global food security.

Suggested Citation

  • Meng-Leong How & Yong Jiet Chan & Sin-Mei Cheah, 2020. "Predictive Insights for Improving the Resilience of Global Food Security Using Artificial Intelligence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-14, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:15:p:6272-:d:394274
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/15/6272/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/12/15/6272/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Anna Sperotto & Josè Luis Molina & Silvia Torresan & Andrea Critto & Manuel Pulido-Velazquez & Antonio Marcomini, 2019. "Water Quality Sustainability Evaluation under Uncertainty: A Multi-Scenario Analysis Based on Bayesian Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-34, August.
    2. David Tilman & Michael Clark, 2014. "Global diets link environmental sustainability and human health," Nature, Nature, vol. 515(7528), pages 518-522, November.
    3. Julia Kleineidam, 2020. "Fields of Action for Designing Measures to Avoid Food Losses in Logistics Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-20, July.
    4. Sebastien Lleo & William T. Ziemba, 2015. "The Swiss Black Swan Bad Scenario: Is Switzerland Another Casualty of the Eurozone Crisis?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-30, August.
    5. Guillermo Miro-Quesada & Enrique Del Castillo & John Peterson, 2004. "A Bayesian Approach for Multiple Response Surface Optimization in the Presence of Noise Variables," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 31(3), pages 251-270.
    6. Fatemeh Darijani & Hadi Veisi & Houman Liaghati & Mohammad Reza Nazari & Kours Khoshbakht, 2019. "Assessment of Resilience of Pistachio Agroecosystems in Rafsanjan Plain in Iran," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-14, March.
    7. Homi Kharas, 2010. "The Emerging Middle Class in Developing Countries," OECD Development Centre Working Papers 285, OECD Publishing.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Ali, Mohd Helmi & Chung, Leanne & Kumar, Ajay & Zailani, Suhaiza & Tan, Kim Hua, 2021. "A sustainable Blockchain framework for the halal food supply chain: Lessons from Malaysia," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    2. Julia Kleineidam, 2022. "Distinguishing Organisational Profiles of Food Loss Management in Logistics," Logistics, MDPI, vol. 6(3), pages 1-23, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Agyapong, Nana Ama & Annan, Reginald A. & Apprey, Charles & Aryeetey, Richmond, 2022. "A review of Ghana’s food system and its implications on sustainability and the development of national food-based dietary guidelines," African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development (AJFAND), African Journal of Food, Agriculture, Nutrition and Development (AJFAND), vol. 22(02).
    2. Irene Blanco-Gutiérrez & Consuelo Varela-Ortega & Rhys Manners, 2020. "Evaluating Animal-Based Foods and Plant-Based Alternatives Using Multi-Criteria and SWOT Analyses," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(21), pages 1-26, October.
    3. Castro, P. & Pedroso, R. & Lautenbach, S. & Vicens, R., 2020. "Farmland abandonment in Rio de Janeiro: Underlying and contributory causes of an announced development," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    4. Rami Al Sidawi & Teo Urushadze & Angelika Ploeger, 2020. "Changes in Dairy Products Value Chain in Georgia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(15), pages 1-29, July.
    5. Sjauw-Koen-Fa, August R. & Blok, Vincent & Omta, S.W.F. (Onno), 2016. "Critical Success Factors for Smallholder Inclusion in High Value-Adding Supply Chains by Food & Agribusiness Multinational Enterprise," International Food and Agribusiness Management Review, International Food and Agribusiness Management Association, vol. 19(1), pages 1-30, February.
    6. Mariela González-Narváez & María José Fernández-Gómez & Susana Mendes & José-Luis Molina & Omar Ruiz-Barzola & Purificación Galindo-Villardón, 2021. "Study of Temporal Variations in Species–Environment Association through an Innovative Multivariate Method: MixSTATICO," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-25, May.
    7. Birgit Kopainsky & Anita Frehner & Adrian Müller, 2020. "Sustainable and healthy diets: Synergies and trade‐offs in Switzerland," Systems Research and Behavioral Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(6), pages 908-927, November.
    8. Oasis Kodila-Tedika & Simplice A. Asongu & Julio Mukendi Kayembe, 2016. "Middle Class in Africa: Determinants and Consequences," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(4), pages 527-549, October.
    9. Adam A. Prag & Christian B. Henriksen, 2020. "Transition from Animal-Based to Plant-Based Food Production to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions from Agriculture—The Case of Denmark," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(19), pages 1-20, October.
    10. Xavier Simon & Damián Copena & David Pérez-Neira, 2023. "Assessment of the diet-environment-health-cost quadrilemma in public school canteens. an LCA case study in Galicia (Spain)," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(11), pages 12543-12567, November.
    11. Ordeñana, Xavier & Arteaga, Elizabeth, 2012. "Middle-Class Entrepreneurship and the Effect of Social Capital," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 4037, Inter-American Development Bank.
    12. F. Castro-Llanos & G. Hyman & J. Rubiano & J. Ramirez-Villegas & H. Achicanoy, 2019. "Climate change favors rice production at higher elevations in Colombia," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(8), pages 1401-1430, December.
    13. Peter Horton, 2017. "We need radical change in how we produce and consume food," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 9(6), pages 1323-1327, December.
    14. Elena Sochirca & Pedro Cunha Neves, 2018. "Optimal policies, middle class development and human capital accumulation under elite rivalry," CEFAGE-UE Working Papers 2018_04, University of Evora, CEFAGE-UE (Portugal).
    15. Gerald Nelson & Jessica Bogard & Keith Lividini & Joanne Arsenault & Malcolm Riley & Timothy B. Sulser & Daniel Mason-D’Croz & Brendan Power & David Gustafson & Mario Herrero & Keith Wiebe & Karen Coo, 2018. "Income growth and climate change effects on global nutrition security to mid-century," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 1(12), pages 773-781, December.
    16. Bianca Yamaguchi & Toru Takahashi & Cristian Iulian Vlad & Hiroaki Kaneko & Ana Damaschin, 2020. "The Impact of Resource-Based Circular Economic Models in Japan," Romanian Economic Business Review, Romanian-American University, vol. 15(3), pages 1-28, September.
    17. Angel Melguizo, 2015. "Pensions, informality, and the emerging middle class," IZA World of Labor, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA), pages 169-169, July.
    18. Dániel Fróna & János Szenderák & Mónika Harangi-Rákos, 2019. "The Challenge of Feeding the World," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(20), pages 1-18, October.
    19. Jindřich Špička & Zdeňka Náglová, 2022. "Consumer segmentation in the meat market - The case study of Czech Republic," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(2), pages 68-77.
    20. Théodore Nikiema & Eugène C. Ezin & Sylvain Kpenavoun Chogou, 2023. "Bibliometric Analysis of the State of Research on Agroecology Adoption and Methods Used for Its Assessment," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-18, November.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:12:y:2020:i:15:p:6272-:d:394274. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.