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Modelling the Impact of Land Cover Changes on Carbon Storage and Sequestration in the Central Zagros Region, Iran Using Ecosystem Services Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Mohsen Japelaghi

    (Department of Environment, Faculty of Natural Resources & Marine Sciences (FNRMS), Tarbiat Modares University, P.O. Box 46414-356, Noor 46417-76489, Iran)

  • Fariba Hajian

    (Department of Environment, Faculty of Natural Resources, Isfahan University of Technology, Isfahan 84156-83111, Iran)

  • Mehdi Gholamalifard

    (Department of Environment, Faculty of Natural Resources & Marine Sciences (FNRMS), Tarbiat Modares University, P.O. Box 46414-356, Noor 46417-76489, Iran)

  • Biswajeet Pradhan

    (Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems (CAMGIS), Faculty of Engineering and Information Technology, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Building 11, Level 06, 81 Broadway, P.O. Box 123, Ultimo, NSW 2007, Australia
    Center of Excellence for Climate Change Research, King Abdulaziz University, P.O. Box 80234, Jeddah 21589, Saudi Arabia
    Earth Observation Centre, Institute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi 43600, Selangor, Malaysia)

  • Khairul Nizam Abdul Maulud

    (Earth Observation Centre, Institute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi 43600, Selangor, Malaysia
    Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi 43600, Selangor, Malaysia)

  • Hyuck-Jin Park

    (Department of Energy and Mineral Resources Engineering, Sejong University, Choongmu-gwan, 209 Neungdong-ro, Gwangjin-gu, Seoul 05006, Korea)

Abstract

Central Zagros region in Iran is a major hotspot of carbon storage and sequestration which has experienced severe land cover change in recent decades that has led to carbon emission. In this research, using temporal Landsat images, land cover maps were produced and used in Land Change Modeler to predict land cover changes in 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050 using Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network and Markov Chain techniques. Next, resultant maps were used as inputs to Ecosystem Services Modeler. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report data was used to extract carbon data. Results show that between 1989–2013 about half of forests have been destroyed. Prediction results show that by 2050 about 75% of existing forests will be lost and between 2013–2020 about 157,000 Mg carbon and by 2050 about 565,000 Mg carbon will be lost with more than US$1.9 million to 2020 and AU$3.2 million by 2050 economic compensation.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Japelaghi & Fariba Hajian & Mehdi Gholamalifard & Biswajeet Pradhan & Khairul Nizam Abdul Maulud & Hyuck-Jin Park, 2022. "Modelling the Impact of Land Cover Changes on Carbon Storage and Sequestration in the Central Zagros Region, Iran Using Ecosystem Services Approach," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(3), pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:11:y:2022:i:3:p:423-:d:770883
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Stern,Nicholas, 2007. "The Economics of Climate Change," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521700801, Enero-Abr.
    2. Wang, Yahui & Dai, Erfu & Yin, Le & Ma, Liang, 2018. "Land use/land cover change and the effects on ecosystem services in the Hengduan Mountain region, China," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 34(PA), pages 55-67.
    3. Richard S. J. Tol, 2014. "Correction and Update: The Economic Effects of Climate Change," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 28(2), pages 221-226, Spring.
    4. Karina Winkler & Richard Fuchs & Mark Rounsevell & Martin Herold, 2021. "Global land use changes are four times greater than previously estimated," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Tolessa, Terefe & Senbeta, Feyera & Kidane, Moges, 2017. "The impact of land use/land cover change on ecosystem services in the central highlands of Ethiopia," Ecosystem Services, Elsevier, vol. 23(C), pages 47-54.
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    Cited by:

    1. Muyi Huang & Qilong Wang & Qi Yin & Weihua Li & Guozhao Zhang & Qiaojun Ke & Qin Guo, 2023. "Analysis of Ecosystem Service Contribution and Identification of Trade-Off/Synergy Relationship for Ecosystem Regulation in the Dabie Mountains of Western Anhui Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-22, May.
    2. Nematollah Kohestani & Shafagh Rastgar & Ghodratolla Heydari & Shaban Shataee Jouibary & Hamid Amirnejad, 2024. "Spatiotemporal modeling of the value of carbon sequestration under changing land use/land cover using InVEST model: a case study of Nour-rud Watershed, Northern Iran," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(6), pages 14477-14505, June.

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