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La stima e l’interpretazione dei divari regionali nel lungo periodo: i risultati principali e alcune tracce di ricerca

Listed author(s):
  • Emanuele Felice

Il saggio analizza i principali risultati nella ricostruzione del pil delle regioni italiane e da conto dell’interpretazione sull’andamento dei divari che ne risulta. Le piu aggiornate stime del pil regionale, per intervalli decennali dal 1871 al 1951, ai confini storici e attuali, vengono presentate e discusse: queste consentono di testare modelli di convergenza condizionale, con dati sezionali, che indicano la presenza di effetti fissi negativi sulla crescita delle regioni meridionali. Piu che a fattori geografici o di mercato, gli effetti fissi sembrano riconducibili a una difformita nelle condizioni sociali e istituzionali. In futuro la realizzazione di stime storiche del pil provinciale, per l’eta liberale e fra le due guerre, potra consentire di verificare in maniera piu approfondita, ed eventualmente di perfezionare, il modello interpretativo proposto.

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Article provided by FrancoAngeli Editore in its journal SCIENZE REGIONALI.

Volume (Year): 2015/3 (2015)
Issue (Month): 3 ()
Pages: 91-120

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