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La stima e l’interpretazione dei divari regionali nel lungo periodo: i risultati principali e alcune tracce di ricerca

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  • Emanuele Felice

Abstract

Il saggio analizza i principali risultati nella ricostruzione del pil delle regioni italiane e da conto dell’interpretazione sull’andamento dei divari che ne risulta. Le piu aggiornate stime del pil regionale, per intervalli decennali dal 1871 al 1951, ai confini storici e attuali, vengono presentate e discusse: queste consentono di testare modelli di convergenza condizionale, con dati sezionali, che indicano la presenza di effetti fissi negativi sulla crescita delle regioni meridionali. Piu che a fattori geografici o di mercato, gli effetti fissi sembrano riconducibili a una difformita nelle condizioni sociali e istituzionali. In futuro la realizzazione di stime storiche del pil provinciale, per l’eta liberale e fra le due guerre, potra consentire di verificare in maniera piu approfondita, ed eventualmente di perfezionare, il modello interpretativo proposto.

Suggested Citation

  • Emanuele Felice, 2015. "La stima e l’interpretazione dei divari regionali nel lungo periodo: i risultati principali e alcune tracce di ricerca," SCIENZE REGIONALI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2015(3), pages 91-120.
  • Handle: RePEc:fan:scresc:v:html10.3280/scre2015-003006
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stime del pil; divari regionali; convergenza.;

    JEL classification:

    • N94 - Economic History - - Regional and Urban History - - - Europe: 1913-
    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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