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The Exchange Rate as an Adjustment Mechanism - A Structural VAR Approach to the Case of Ireland

  • Dermot Hodson

    (London School of Economics and Political Science)

Registered author(s):

    Ireland’s participation in stage three of Economic and Monetary Union precludes exchange rate adjustment in response to asymmetric shocks. A Structural VAR model is used to decompose the effects of asymmetric supply, demand and nominal disturbances on macroeconomic imbalances between Ireland and the UK and on the Irish pound-sterling exchange rate. The results indicate that supply shocks account for a significant degree of the fluctuation in both variables. This lends weight to the view that the loss of autonomous control over the nominal exchange rate in the face of asymmetric shocks is a significant one, thus increasing the importance of alternative adjustment mechanisms for the Irish economy.

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    File URL: http://www.esr.ie/Vol34_2Hodson.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2003
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    Article provided by Economic and Social Studies in its journal Economic and Social Review.

    Volume (Year): 34 (2003)
    Issue (Month): 2 ()
    Pages: 151-172

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    Handle: RePEc:eso:journl:v:34:y:2003:i:2:p:151-172
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    10. Baker, Terence J. & FitzGerald, John & Honohan, Patrick, 1996. "Economic Implications for Ireland of EMU," Research Series, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI), number PRS28.
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    12. Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali, 1994. "Sources of Real Exchange Rate Fluctuations: How Important are Nominal Shocks?," NBER Working Papers 4658, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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