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A scenario analysis of CO2 emission trends from car travel: Great Britain 2000-2030

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  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong

Abstract

This study projects CO2 emissions from car travel in Great Britain over the period of 2000-2030, by building various scenarios based on the 'I=PAT' identity. The results reveal the difficulty of achieving a modest CO2 target set in this study by changing either affluence (A) factor or technology (T) factor alone. In addition, even in the most optimistic scenario of changes in Affluence factors and Technology factors, it is very difficult to achieve the CO2 target as early as in year 2010.

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  • Kwon, Tae-Hyeong, 2005. "A scenario analysis of CO2 emission trends from car travel: Great Britain 2000-2030," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 175-184, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:12:y:2005:i:2:p:175-184
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. O' Mahony, Tadhg & Zhou, P. & Sweeney, John, 2013. "Integrated scenarios of energy-related CO2 emissions in Ireland: A multi-sectoral analysis to 2020," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 385-397.
    2. Bristow, Abigail L. & Tight, Miles & Pridmore, Alison & May, Anthony D., 2008. "Developing pathways to low carbon land-based passenger transport in Great Britain by 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(9), pages 3427-3435, September.
    3. Rattanachot, Wit & Wang, Yuhong & Chong, Dan & Suwansawas, Suchatvee, 2015. "Adaptation strategies of transport infrastructures to global climate change," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 159-166.
    4. Shepherd, Simon & Bonsall, Peter & Harrison, Gillian, 2012. "Factors affecting future demand for electric vehicles: A model based study," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 20(C), pages 62-74.

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