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Hybrid approaches based on SARIMA and artificial neural networks for inspection time series forecasting

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  • Ruiz-Aguilar, J.J.
  • Turias, I.J.
  • Jiménez-Come, M.J.

Abstract

In this paper, the number of goods subject to inspection at European Border Inspections Post are predicted using a hybrid two-step procedure. A hybridization methodology based on integrating the data obtained from autoregressive integrated moving averages (SARIMA) model in the artificial neural network model (ANN) to predict the number of inspections is proposed. Several hybrid approaches are compared and the results indicate that the hybrid models outperform either of the models used separately. This methodology may become a powerful decision-making tool at other inspection facilities of international seaports or airports.

Suggested Citation

  • Ruiz-Aguilar, J.J. & Turias, I.J. & Jiménez-Come, M.J., 2014. "Hybrid approaches based on SARIMA and artificial neural networks for inspection time series forecasting," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 1-13.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:67:y:2014:i:c:p:1-13
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2014.03.009
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    Cited by:

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    4. Xu, Shuojiang & Chan, Hing Kai & Zhang, Tiantian, 2019. "Forecasting the demand of the aviation industry using hybrid time series SARIMA-SVR approach," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 169-180.
    5. Khan, Waqar Ahmed & Chung, Sai-Ho & Ma, Hoi-Lam & Liu, Shi Qiang & Chan, Ching Yuen, 2019. "A novel self-organizing constructive neural network for estimating aircraft trip fuel consumption," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 72-96.
    6. M. Milenković & N. Milosavljevic & N. Bojović & S. Val, 2021. "Container flow forecasting through neural networks based on metaheuristics," Operational Research, Springer, vol. 21(2), pages 965-997, June.
    7. Raeesi, Ramin & Sahebjamnia, Navid & Mansouri, S. Afshin, 2023. "The synergistic effect of operational research and big data analytics in greening container terminal operations: A review and future directions," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 310(3), pages 943-973.
    8. Eltoukhy, Abdelrahman E.E. & Wang, Z.X. & Chan, Felix T.S. & Fu, X., 2019. "Data analytics in managing aircraft routing and maintenance staffing with price competition by a Stackelberg-Nash game model," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 143-168.
    9. Huang, Dong & Grifoll, Manel & Sanchez-Espigares, Jose A. & Zheng, Pengjun & Feng, Hongxiang, 2022. "Hybrid approaches for container traffic forecasting in the context of anomalous events: The case of the Yangtze River Delta region in the COVID-19 pandemic," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 1-12.
    10. Anqiang Huang & Xinjun Liu & Changrui Rao & Yi Zhang & Yifan He, 2022. "A New Container Throughput Forecasting Paradigm under COVID-19," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-20, March.
    11. Hamid Moeeni & Hossein Bonakdari & Isa Ebtehaj, 2017. "Integrated SARIMA with Neuro-Fuzzy Systems and Neural Networks for Monthly Inflow Prediction," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(7), pages 2141-2156, May.

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