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Modelling change in supply-chain-structures and its effect on freight transport demand

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  • Ottemöller, Ole
  • Friedrich, Hanno

Abstract

The paper introduces a model to determine possible impacts of changes in supply chain structures on freight transport demand. Examples are centralisation or vertical (des)integration within supply chains. The model first generates a population of establishments and commodity flows in space which is then manipulated according to different scenarios. It uses methods from transport planning and optimisation as well as scenario technique. To demonstrate its applicability a centralisation in food supply chain structures in Germany is analysed. The results show that a more educated discussion is needed for such changes since the range of possible impacts is large.

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  • Ottemöller, Ole & Friedrich, Hanno, 2019. "Modelling change in supply-chain-structures and its effect on freight transport demand," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 23-42.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transe:v:121:y:2019:i:c:p:23-42
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tre.2017.08.009
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    2. Durowoju, Olatunde A. & Chan, Hing Kai & Wang, Xiaojun & Akenroye, Temidayo, 2021. "Supply chain redesign implications to information disruption impact," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    3. Gonzalez-Calderon, Carlos A. & Moreno-Palacio, Diana Patricia & Posada-Henao, John Jairo & Quintero-Giraldo, Ricardo & Múnera, César Chavarría, 2022. "Service trip generation modeling in urban areas," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).

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