IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/tefoso/v178y2022ics0040162522001184.html

The effect of climate news risk on uncertainties

Author

Listed:
  • Ye, Liping

Abstract

Using the Wall Street Journal (WSJ) climate news index, this paper investigates the time-varying shock effects of climate news risk on uncertainties, which mainly include energy market uncertainty, economic policy uncertainty and financial market uncertainty. The degree of the effect of climate news risk on uncertainties varies in the short, medium and long terms; the short-term effect is the greatest, followed by the medium- and long-term effects. While climate news risk has a positive effect on economic policy uncertainty, it has a negative effect on energy market uncertainty. Climate news risk had a negative effect on financial market uncertainty before 2013 and has had a positive effect since 2013. During the UN Climate Change Conferences in Copenhagen, Doha and Paris, climate news risk shocks were found to have the greatest effect on economic policy uncertainty, followed by the effect on energy market uncertainty. The smallest degree of effect was on financial market uncertainty.

Suggested Citation

  • Ye, Liping, 2022. "The effect of climate news risk on uncertainties," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 178(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:178:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522001184
    DOI: 10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121586
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0040162522001184
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.techfore.2022.121586?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Crecente, Fernando & Sarabia, María & Teresa del Val, María, 2021. "Climate change policy and entrepreneurial opportunities," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    2. Jiang, Sijian & Deng, Xiangzheng & Liu, Gang & Zhang, Fan, 2021. "Climate change-induced economic impact assessment by parameterizing spatially heterogeneous CO2 distribution," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
    3. Rosen, Richard A. & Guenther, Edeltraud, 2015. "The economics of mitigating climate change: What can we know?," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 93-106.
    4. Robert F Engle & Stefano Giglio & Bryan Kelly & Heebum Lee & Johannes Stroebel, 2020. "Hedging Climate Change News," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1184-1216.
    5. Huynh, Thanh D. & Nguyen, Thu Ha & Truong, Cameron, 2020. "Climate risk: The price of drought," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Semeyutin, Artur & Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Xu, Bing, 2021. "Effects of idiosyncratic jumps and co-jumps on oil, gold, and copper markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    7. Franziska Piontek & Laurent Drouet & Johannes Emmerling & Tom Kompas & Aurélie Méjean & Christian Otto & James Rising & Bjoern Soergel & Nicolas Taconet & Massimo Tavoni, 2021. "Integrated perspective on translating biophysical to economic impacts of climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(7), pages 563-572, July.
    8. Marshall Burke & Solomon M. Hsiang & Edward Miguel, 2015. "Global non-linear effect of temperature on economic production," Nature, Nature, vol. 527(7577), pages 235-239, November.
    9. Mideksa, Torben K. & Kallbekken, Steffen, 2010. "The impact of climate change on the electricity market: A review," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 3579-3585, July.
    10. Paul C. Stern & Benjamin K. Sovacool & Thomas Dietz, 2016. "Towards a science of climate and energy choices," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(6), pages 547-555, June.
    11. Lamperti, F. & Dosi, G. & Napoletano, M. & Roventini, A. & Sapio, A., 2020. "Climate change and green transitions in an agent-based integrated assessment model," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    12. Richard S. J. Tol, 2014. "Correction and Update: The Economic Effects of Climate Change," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 28(2), pages 221-226, Spring.
    13. Scott R. Baker & Nicholas Bloom & Steven J. Davis, 2016. "Measuring Economic Policy Uncertainty," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1593-1636.
    14. Darwin Choi & Zhenyu Gao & Wenxi Jiang, 2020. "Attention to Global Warming," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 33(3), pages 1112-1145.
    15. Jouchi Nakajima, 2011. "Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility: An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 29, pages 107-142, November.
    16. Lu, Shibao & Bai, Xiao & Li, Wei & Wang, Ning, 2019. "Impacts of climate change on water resources and grain production," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 143(C), pages 76-84.
    17. Frances C. Moore & Delavane B. Diaz, 2015. "Temperature impacts on economic growth warrant stringent mitigation policy," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 127-131, February.
    18. Nguyen, Justin Hung & Phan, Hieu V., 2020. "Carbon risk and corporate capital structure," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
    19. Emanuele Campiglio & Yannis Dafermos & Pierre Monnin & Josh Ryan-Collins & Guido Schotten & Misa Tanaka, 2018. "Climate change challenges for central banks and financial regulators," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 462-468, June.
    20. Derek Lemoine & Sarah Kapnick, 2016. "A top-down approach to projecting market impacts of climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 51-55, January.
    21. Bas J. van Ruijven & Enrica De Cian & Ian Sue Wing, 2019. "Amplification of future energy demand growth due to climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-12, December.
    22. Stefano Battiston & Antoine Mandel & Irene Monasterolo & Franziska Schütze & Gabriele Visentin, 2017. "A climate stress-test of the financial system," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(4), pages 283-288, April.
    23. Marco Del Negro & Giorgio E. Primiceri, 2015. "Time Varying Structural Vector Autoregressions and Monetary Policy: A Corrigendum," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(4), pages 1342-1345.
    24. Foramitti, Joël & Savin, Ivan & van den Bergh, Jeroen C.J.M., 2021. "Regulation at the source? Comparing upstream and downstream climate policies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
    25. Delavane Diaz & Frances Moore, 2017. "Quantifying the economic risks of climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 7(11), pages 774-782, November.
    26. Bolton, Patrick & Kacperczyk, Marcin, 2021. "Do investors care about carbon risk?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 142(2), pages 517-549.
    27. A. T. D. Perera & Vahid M. Nik & Deliang Chen & Jean-Louis Scartezzini & Tianzhen Hong, 2020. "Quantifying the impacts of climate change and extreme climate events on energy systems," Nature Energy, Nature, vol. 5(2), pages 150-159, February.
    28. Francesco Lamperti & Valentina Bosetti & Andrea Roventini & Massimo Tavoni, 2019. "The public costs of climate-induced financial instability," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 829-833, November.
    29. Edward A. Byers & Gemma Coxon & Jim Freer & Jim W. Hall, 2020. "Drought and climate change impacts on cooling water shortages and electricity prices in Great Britain," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-12, December.
    30. Zhang, Hailing & Liu, Changxin & Wang, Can, 2021. "Extreme climate events and economic impacts in China: A CGE analysis with a new damage function in IAM," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 169(C).
    31. Frances C. Moore & Delavane B. Diaz, 2015. "Erratum: Temperature impacts on economic growth warrant stringent mitigation policy," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 5(3), pages 280-280, March.
    32. Gozgor, Giray & Lau, Chi Keung Marco & Bilgin, Mehmet Huseyin, 2016. "Commodity markets volatility transmission: Roles of risk perceptions and uncertainty in financial markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 35-45.
    33. Jun’ya Takakura & Shinichiro Fujimori & Naota Hanasaki & Tomoko Hasegawa & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Yasushi Honda & Toshichika Iizumi & Naoko Kumano & Chan Park & Zhihong Shen & Kiyoshi Takahashi & Makoto, 2019. "Publisher Correction: Dependence of economic impacts of climate change on anthropogenically directed pathways," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(11), pages 894-894, November.
    34. Eom, Jiyong & Edmonds, Jae & Krey, Volker & Johnson, Nils & Longden, Thomas & Luderer, Gunnar & Riahi, Keywan & Van Vuuren, Detlef P., 2015. "The impact of near-term climate policy choices on technology and emission transition pathways," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 90(PA), pages 73-88.
    35. Maximilian Auffhammer, 2018. "Quantifying Economic Damages from Climate Change," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 32(4), pages 33-52, Fall.
    36. Rubtsov, Alexey & Xu, Wei & Šević, Aleksandar & Šević, Željko, 2021. "Price of climate risk hedging under uncertainty," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    37. Sonja van Renssen, 2014. "Investors take charge of climate policy," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 4(4), pages 241-242, April.
    38. Jun’ya Takakura & Shinichiro Fujimori & Naota Hanasaki & Tomoko Hasegawa & Yukiko Hirabayashi & Yasushi Honda & Toshichika Iizumi & Naoko Kumano & Chan Park & Zhihong Shen & Kiyoshi Takahashi & Makoto, 2019. "Dependence of economic impacts of climate change on anthropogenically directed pathways," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(10), pages 737-741, October.
    39. Huynh, Thanh D. & Xia, Ying, 2021. "Climate Change News Risk and Corporate Bond Returns," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 56(6), pages 1985-2009, September.
    40. Hong, Harrison & Li, Frank Weikai & Xu, Jiangmin, 2019. "Climate risks and market efficiency," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 208(1), pages 265-281.
    41. Ghadge, Abhijeet & van der Werf, Sjoerd & Er Kara, Merve & Goswami, Mohit & Kumar, Pankaj & Bourlakis, Michael, 2020. "Modelling the impact of climate change risk on bioethanol supply chains," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 160(C).
    42. Painter, Marcus, 2020. "An inconvenient cost: The effects of climate change on municipal bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 135(2), pages 468-482.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Venturini, Alessio, 2022. "Climate change, risk factors and stock returns: A review of the literature," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    2. He, Feng & Ren, Xingzi & Wang, Yueren & Lei, Xingfan, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate bond credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    3. Basha, Shabeen Afsar & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Ben-Nasr, Hamdi & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2025. "Does political risk exacerbate climate risk? Firm-level evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    4. Rising, James A. & Taylor, Charlotte & Ives, Matthew C. & Ward, Robert E.t., 2022. "Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 114941, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    5. Rising, James A. & Taylor, Charlotte & Ives, Matthew C. & Ward, Robert E.T., 2022. "Challenges and innovations in the economic evaluation of the risks of climate change," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Chang, Jun-Jie & Mi, Zhifu & Wei, Yi-Ming, 2023. "Temperature and GDP: A review of climate econometrics analysis," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 383-392.
    7. Thanh D. Huynh & Ying Xia, 2023. "Panic Selling When Disaster Strikes: Evidence in the Bond and Stock Markets," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 69(12), pages 7448-7467, December.
    8. Yang, Junqi & Geng, Jiang-Bo, 2025. "Dissecting the financial impact of climate risk," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    9. A. Hossain & A.-A. Masum & S. Saadi & R. Benkraiem & N. Das, 2023. "Firm-Level Climate Change Risk and CEO Equity Incentives," Post-Print hal-04434397, HAL.
    10. Cao, Zhangfan & Chen, Steven Xianglong & Dong, Ting & Lee, Edward, 2025. "Climate change uncertainty and supply chain financing," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 57(5).
    11. Dong, Xiyong & Yoon, Seong-Min, 2023. "Effect of weather and environmental attentions on financial system risks: Evidence from Chinese high- and low-carbon assets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    12. Xu Gong & Mengjie Li & Keqin Guan & Chuanwang Sun, 2023. "Climate change attention and carbon futures return prediction," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(9), pages 1261-1288, September.
    13. Gong, Xu & Fu, Chengbo & Huang, Qiping & Lin, Meimei, 2022. "International political uncertainty and climate risk in the stock market," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    14. Shima Amini & Sofia Johan & Eilnaz Kashefi-Pour & Abdulkadir Mohamed, 2025. "Climate change risk, investor sentiment, and the performance of new entrant firms," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 65(4), pages 2539-2566, December.
    15. Lamperti, Francesco & Bosetti, Valentina & Roventini, Andrea & Tavoni, Massimo & Treibich, Tania, 2021. "Three green financial policies to address climate risks," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    16. Ongsakul, Viput & Papangkorn, Suwongrat & Jiraporn, Pornsit, 2023. "Estimating the effect of climate change exposure on firm value using climate policy uncertainty: A text-based approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C).
    17. Breckenfelder, Johannes & Maćkowiak, Bartosz & Marqués-Ibáñez, David & Olovsson, Conny & Popov, Alexander & Porcellacchia, Davide & Schepens, Glenn, 2023. "The climate and the economy," Working Paper Series 2793, European Central Bank.
    18. Xing Chen & Fenghua Wen & Jinli Xiao & Gary Gang Tian, 2025. "Weathering the Risk: How Climate Uncertainty Fuels Corporate Fraud," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 201(2), pages 519-547, October.
    19. Treepongkaruna, Sirimon & Jiraporn, Pornsit & Kyaw, Khine & Padungsaksawasdi, Chaiyuth, 2024. "Climate change exposure and corporate culture: A text-based approach," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    20. Jiasheng Yu & Maojun Zhang & Ruoyu Liu & Guodong Wang, 2023. "Dynamic Effects of Climate Policy Uncertainty on Green Bond Volatility: An Empirical Investigation Based on TVP-VAR Models," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-17, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:tefoso:v:178:y:2022:i:c:s0040162522001184. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.