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Analysis of achievable residential energy-saving potential and its implications for effective policy interventions: A study of Xiamen city in southern China

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  • Guo, Fei
  • Kurdgelashvili, Lado
  • Bengtsson, Magnus
  • Akenji, Lewis

Abstract

This paper explores opportunities for effective policy intervention for residential energy savings in southern China, by analyzing achievable potential of residential energy savings in the city of Xiamen as a case study. In contrast to static technical and economic potential analyses, the achievable potential analysis is based on dynamic energy consumption projections, which consider two real-world factors: (1) gradual ramping-up adoption process of advanced technical measures; and (2) consumers’ adoption of these measures. A bottom-up type Residential Energy Consumption (REC) projection model specifically tailored for southern China was developed in this paper, based on the general logic and calculation principles utilized in the U.S. EIA’s “National Energy Modeling System (NEMS),” and the adoption theory of advanced technical measures proposed by Kastovich. This REC projection model was then used as a policy analysis tool to quantitatively evaluate the impact of various policies on residential energy savings in the case study city of Xiamen. The analysis of the Xiamen case shows that although there is a significant technical potential for residential energy savings in the city (about 20.9–24.9%), the maximum achievable potential (MAP) in 2020 is only about 8.3–8.4% of that year’s business-as-usual baseline consumption. Moreover, with existing policies only about one-fourth to half of the calculated MAP is likely to be achieved by 2020. These findings indicate that in order to realize a larger share of achievable potential for residential energy savings in China, additional and more effective polices are needed.

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  • Guo, Fei & Kurdgelashvili, Lado & Bengtsson, Magnus & Akenji, Lewis, 2016. "Analysis of achievable residential energy-saving potential and its implications for effective policy interventions: A study of Xiamen city in southern China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 507-520.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:rensus:v:62:y:2016:i:c:p:507-520
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rser.2016.04.070
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    2. Wang, Jianming & Li, Yongqiang & He, Zhengxia & Gao, Jian & Wang, Jianguo, 2022. "Scale framing, benefit framing and their interaction effects on energy-saving behaviors: Evidence from urban residents of China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    3. Lijun Zeng & Laijun Zhao & Qin Wang & Bingcheng Wang & Yuan Ma & Wei Cui & Yujing Xie, 2018. "Modeling Interprovincial Cooperative Energy Saving in China: An Electricity Utilization Perspective," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(1), pages 1-25, January.
    4. Ali, Ghaffar & Yan, Ningyu & Hussain, Jafar & Xu, Lilai & Huang, Yunfeng & Xu, Su & Cui, Shenghui, 2019. "Quantitative assessment of energy conservation and renewable energy awareness among variant urban communities of Xiamen, China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 230-238.
    5. Tan, Xianchun & Lai, Haiping & Gu, Baihe & Zeng, Yuan & Li, Hui, 2018. "Carbon emission and abatement potential outlook in China's building sector through 2050," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 429-439.
    6. Liu, Yang & Zhang, Congrui & Xu, Xiaochuan & Ge, Yongxiang & Ren, Gaofeng, 2022. "Assessment of energy conservation potential and cost in open-pit metal mines: Bottom-up approach integrated energy conservation supply curve and ultimate pit limit," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    7. Guo, Fei & Akenji, Lewis & Schroeder, Patrick & Bengtsson, Magnus, 2018. "Static analysis of technical and economic energy-saving potential in the residential sector of Xiamen city," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 373-383.
    8. Xueliang Yuan & Xiaoyu Zhang & Jiaxin Liang & Qingsong Wang & Jian Zuo, 2017. "The Development of Building Energy Conservation in China: A Review and Critical Assessment from the Perspective of Policy and Institutional System," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-22, September.
    9. Fu, Tong & Chang, Dongfeng & Miao, Chenglin, 2022. "Fuel regulation in a developing country: An interventional perspective," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    10. Gongyi Zhang & Chang Zhang & Hongguang Nie, 2021. "An Overview of China’s Energy Labeling Policy Portfolio: China’s Contribution to Addressing the Global Goal of Sustainable Development," SAGE Open, , vol. 11(1), pages 21582440209, January.
    11. Jia, Jun-Jun & Xu, Jin-Hua & Fan, Ying, 2018. "Public acceptance of household energy-saving measures in Beijing: Heterogeneous preferences and policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 487-499.
    12. Xiaomei Yan & Shenghui Cui & Lilai Xu & Jianyi Lin & Ghaffar Ali, 2018. "Carbon Footprints of Urban Residential Buildings: A Household Survey-Based Approach," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, April.

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