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Is the light rail “Tide” lifting property values? Evidence from Hampton Roads, VA

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  • Wagner, Gary A.
  • Komarek, Timothy
  • Martin, Julia

Abstract

In this paper we examine the effect of light rail transit on the residential real estate market in Hampton Roads, Virginia. Norfolk's Tide light rail began operations in August of 2011 and has experienced disappointing levels of ridership compared to other light rail systems. We estimate the effect of the Tide using a difference-in-differences model and consider several outcome variables for the residential housing market, including sale price, sale-list price spread and the time-on-market. Our identification strategy exploits a proposed rail line in neighboring Virginia Beach, Virginia that was rejected by a referendum in 1999. Overall, the results show negative consequences from the constructed light rail line. Properties within 1500 meters experienced a decline in sale price of nearly 8%, while the sale-list price spread declined by approximately 2%. Our results highlight the potential negative effects of light rail when potential accessibility benefits do not out weigh apparent local costs.

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  • Wagner, Gary A. & Komarek, Timothy & Martin, Julia, 2017. "Is the light rail “Tide” lifting property values? Evidence from Hampton Roads, VA," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 25-37.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:65:y:2017:i:c:p:25-37
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2017.03.008
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    Cited by:

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    5. Qiu, Feng & Tong, Qingmeng, 2021. "A spatial difference-in-differences approach to evaluate the impact of light rail transit on property values," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    6. Zachary T. Keeler & Heather M. Stephens, 2023. "The capitalization of metro rail access in urban housing markets," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 51(3), pages 686-720, May.
    7. Portillo, Javier E. & Wagner, Gary A., 2021. "Do cultural districts spur urban revitalization: Evidence from Louisiana," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 651-673.
    8. John Murray & Eleni Bardaka, 2022. "Evaluating the spatial and temporal distribution of beltway effects on housing prices using difference-in-differences methods," Transportation, Springer, vol. 49(6), pages 1963-1998, December.
    9. AlQuhtani, Saad & Anjomani, Ardeshir, 2019. "Do rail transit stations affect housing value changes? The Dallas Fort-Worth metropolitan area case and implications," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 1-1.
    10. Lee, Jae Kwang, 2022. "New rail transit projects and land values: The difference in the impact of rail transit investment on different land types, values and locations," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. Zhang, Min, 2023. "Value uplift from transit investment-Property value or land value? A case study of the Gold Coast light rail system in Australia," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 88-98.
    12. Julie Bulteau & Thierry Feuillet & Rémy Le Boennec, 2018. "Spatial Heterogeneity of Sustainable Transportation Offer Values: A Comparative Analysis of Nantes Urban and Periurban/Rural Areas (France)," Post-Print halshs-01706911, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Light rail transit; Housing market; Difference-in-difference;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R3 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Real Estate Markets, Spatial Production Analysis, and Firm Location
    • R4 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics

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