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Flood hazards impact on neighborhood house prices: A spatial quantile regression analysis

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  • Zhang, Lei

Abstract

This study examines whether being located within a 100-year floodplain has an impact on the price of residential single-family house sales using house sales data in the Fargo-Moorhead Metropolitan Statistical Area between 2000 and 2013. A spatial quantile regression is applied to investigate the flood hazards impact on conditional higher- vs lower- priced homes, while accounting for spatial autocorrelation. The findings show that the location within a floodplain reduces property value. Furthermore, the negative impact of flood hazards on property values are stronger among lower-priced homes, and weaker among higher-priced homes. In addition, the study examines if a major flood in 2009 had an impact on the home buyers' perception about flood risk. The results show that about a year after the major flood, home buyers responded the most, however, the effect quickly diminished after 2010. Across quantiles, the 2009 flood had more effect on lower-priced than higher-priced homes.

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  • Zhang, Lei, 2016. "Flood hazards impact on neighborhood house prices: A spatial quantile regression analysis," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 12-19.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:60:y:2016:i:c:p:12-19
    DOI: 10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2016.06.005
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    Cited by:

    1. Małgorzata Dudzińska & Barbara Prus & Radosław Cellmer & Stanisław Bacior & Katarzyna Kocur-Bera & Anna Klimach & Agnieszka Trystuła, 2020. "The Impact of Flood Risk on the Activity of the Residential Land Market in a Polish Cultural Heritage Town," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 12(23), pages 1-1, December.
    2. Lei Zhang & Tammy Leonard, 2019. "Flood Hazards Impact on Neighborhood House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 58(4), pages 656-674, May.
    3. Zhang, Lei & Yi, Yimin, 2018. "What contributes to the rising house prices in Beijing? A decomposition approach," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 72-84.
    4. Mats Wilhelmsson, 2019. "Energy Performance Certificates and Its Capitalization in Housing Values in Sweden," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(21), pages 1-1, November.
    5. Indaco, Agustín & Ortega, Francesc & Taspinar, Süleyman, 2018. "The Effects of Flood Insurance on Housing Markets," IZA Discussion Papers 11810, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. McMillen, Daniel & Shimizu, Chihiro, 2017. "Decompositions of Spatially Varying Quantile Distribution Estimates: The Rise and Fall of Tokyo House Prices," HIT-REFINED Working Paper Series 74, Institute of Economic Research, Hitotsubashi University.
    7. Yang, Linchuan & Chau, K.W. & Wang, Xu, 2019. "Are low-end housing purchasers more willing to pay for access to basic public services? Evidence from China," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    8. Hu, Xi & Pant, Raghav & Hall, Jim W. & Surminski, Swenja & Huang, Jiashun, 2019. "Multi-scale assessment of the economic impacts of flooding: evidence from firm to macro-level analysis in the Chinese manufacturing sector," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 100534, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    9. Robert J. Johnston & Klaus Moeltner, 2019. "Special Flood Hazard Effects on Coastal and Interior Home Values: One Size Does Not Fit All," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 74(1), pages 181-210, September.
    10. Haizhen Wen & Zaiyuan Gui & Chuanhao Tian & Yue Xiao & Li Fang, 2018. "Subway Opening, Traffic Accessibility, and Housing Prices: A Quantile Hedonic Analysis in Hangzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(7), pages 1-1, June.
    11. Indaco, Agustín & Ortega, Francesc & Taspinar, Süleyman, 2019. "Hurricanes, Flood Risk and the Economic Adaptation of Businesses," IZA Discussion Papers 12474, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    12. Xi Hu & Raghav Pant & Jim W. Hall & Swenja Surminski & Jiashun Huang, 2019. "Multi-Scale Assessment of the Economic Impacts of Flooding: Evidence from Firm to Macro-Level Analysis in the Chinese Manufacturing Sector," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(7), pages 1-1, April.
    13. Ortega, Francesc & Taspinar, Süleyman, 2016. "Rising Sea Levels and Sinking Property Values: The Effects of Hurricane Sandy on New York's Housing Market," IZA Discussion Papers 10374, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    14. Zhang, Lei & Yi, Yimin, 2017. "Quantile house price indices in Beijing," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 85-96.
    15. Gabor Bekes & Aron Horvath & Zoltan Sapi, 2016. "Flood risk and housing prices: evidence from Hungary," CERS-IE WORKING PAPERS 1620, Institute of Economics, Centre for Economic and Regional Studies.
    16. Ortega, Francesc & Taṣpınar, Süleyman, 2018. "Rising sea levels and sinking property values: Hurricane Sandy and New York’s housing market," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 81-100.
    17. Livy, Mitchell R., 2017. "Catastrophe Capitalization: Estimating Changes in Perceptions of Extreme Natural Events over Time," 2017 Annual Meeting, July 30-August 1, Chicago, Illinois 258251, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Garz, Marcel, 2018. "Effects of unemployment news on economic perceptions – Evidence from German Federal States," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 172-190.
    19. Donggyu Yi & Hyundo Choi, 2020. "Housing Market Response to New Flood Risk Information and the Impact on Poor Tenant," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 61(1), pages 55-79, June.
    20. Singh, Ruchi, 2019. "Seismic risk and house prices: Evidence from earthquake fault zoning," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 187-209.
    21. Netusil, Noelwah R. & Moeltner, Klaus & Jarrad, Maya, 2019. "Floodplain designation and property sale prices in an urban watershed," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    22. Yizhou Wu & Peilei Fan & Heyuan You, 2018. "Spatial Evolution of Producer Service Sectors and Its Influencing Factors in Cities: A Case Study of Hangzhou, China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(4), pages 1-1, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Hedonic model; Flood hazards; Spatial quantile regression;

    JEL classification:

    • R2 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Household Analysis
    • C2 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables

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