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Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry

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  • Hribar, Paul
  • Melessa, Samuel J.
  • Small, R. Christopher
  • Wilde, Jaron H.

Abstract

We examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates. Using public banks we find (1) managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates, (2) future charge-offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated, and (3) the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge-offs. Results are similar for private banks, suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results. Although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision, we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Hribar, Paul & Melessa, Samuel J. & Small, R. Christopher & Wilde, Jaron H., 2017. "Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 26-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:63:y:2017:i:1:p:26-50
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2016.10.001
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    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • M40 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - General
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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