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Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry

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  • Hribar, Paul
  • Melessa, Samuel J.
  • Small, R. Christopher
  • Wilde, Jaron H.

Abstract

We examine whether managerial sentiment is associated with errors in accrual estimates. Using public banks we find (1) managerial sentiment is negatively associated with loan loss provision estimates, (2) future charge-offs per dollar of provision are positively associated with sentiment when the provision is estimated, and (3) the effects of sentiment are greater for firms with more uncertain charge-offs. Results are similar for private banks, suggesting accrual manipulation related to capital market incentives is unlikely to explain the results. Although economic fundamentals explain most of the variation in the provision, we find sentiment has an incremental and economically meaningful effect.

Suggested Citation

  • Hribar, Paul & Melessa, Samuel J. & Small, R. Christopher & Wilde, Jaron H., 2017. "Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 26-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jaecon:v:63:y:2017:i:1:p:26-50
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jacceco.2016.10.001
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    Cited by:

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    2. Jiang, Dequan & Li, Weiping & Shen, Yongjian & Yu, Shuangli, 2022. "Does air pollution affect earnings management? Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Morais, Bernardo & Ormazabal, Gaizka & Peydro, J.L. & Roa, Monica & Sarmiento Paipilla, Miguel, 2020. "Forward Looking Loan Provisions : Credit Supply and Risk-Taking," Other publications TiSEM fe99a48f-f94a-41d8-bf3f-3, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
    4. Ormazabal, Gaizka & López-Espinosa, Germán & Sakasai, Yuki, 2020. "Switching From Incurred to Expected Loan Loss Provisioning: Early Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 14803, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Hasan, Mostafa Monzur & Jiang, Haiyan, 2023. "Political sentiment and corporate social responsibility," The British Accounting Review, Elsevier, vol. 55(1).
    6. Sarah B. Stuber & Chris E. Hogan, 2021. "Do PCAOB Inspections Improve the Accuracy of Accounting Estimates?," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(1), pages 331-370, March.
    7. Pablo Pastory y Camarasa & Martien Lamers, 2023. "Do Actions Follow Words? How bank sentiment predicts credit growth," Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium 23/1073, Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration.
    8. Danso, Albert & Lartey, Theophilus & Amankwah-Amoah, Joseph & Adomako, Samuel & Lu, Qinye & Uddin, Moshfique, 2019. "Market sentiment and firm investment decision-making," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    9. Haitham A. Al‐Zoubi & Jennifer A. O'Sullivan & Aktham I. Al‐Maghyereh & Brendan J. Lambe, 2023. "Disentangling Sentiment from Cyclicality in Firm Capital Structure," Abacus, Accounting Foundation, University of Sydney, vol. 59(2), pages 570-605, June.
    10. Shantaram Hegde & Tingyu Zhou, 2019. "Predicting Accounting Misconduct: The Role of Firm-Level Investor Optimism," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 160(2), pages 535-562, December.
    11. Jeffrey Ng & Walid Saffar & Janus Jian Zhang, 2020. "Policy uncertainty and loan loss provisions in the banking industry," Review of Accounting Studies, Springer, vol. 25(2), pages 726-777, June.
    12. Lartey, Theophilus & Danso, Albert & Owusu-Agyei, Samuel, 2020. "CEOs' market sentiment and corporate innovation: The role of financial uncertainty, competition and capital intensity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    13. Yang, Ling, 2022. "An information quality-based explanation for loan loss allowance inadequacy during the 2008 financial crisis," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 73(1).
    14. Jutasompakorn, Pearpilai & Lim, Chu Yeong & Ranasinghe, Tharindra & Ow Yong, Kevin, 2021. "Impact of Basel III on the discretion and timeliness of Banks’ loan loss provisions," Journal of Contemporary Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(2).
    15. Soraia de Sousa Bornett & Carlos Manuel Pinheiro, 2018. "O Mercado Segurador em Portugal: O Papel dos Gestores na Constituição de Provisões," GEE Papers 0112, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Oct 2018.
    16. Skała, Dorota, 2020. "Shareholder shocks and loan loss provisions in Central European banks," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    17. Weixiu Li & Bo Li, 2023. "Intellectual Property Pledge Financing and Enterprise Innovation: Based on the Perspective of Signal Incentive," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-21, July.
    18. Germán López‐Espinosa & Gaizka Ormazabal & Yuki Sakasai, 2021. "Switching from Incurred to Expected Loan Loss Provisioning: Early Evidence," Journal of Accounting Research, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 59(3), pages 757-804, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    G20; G21; M40; M41; Keywords:; Sentiment; Earnings quality; Accruals; Loan loss provision; Banking industry;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • M40 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - General
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting

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