Bubbles and persuasion with uncertainty over market sentiment
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
DOI: 10.1016/j.geb.2019.12.007
Download full text from publisher
As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.
References listed on IDEAS
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2015.
"The Limits of Price Discrimination,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(3), pages 921-957, March.
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1896R2, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Apr 2014.
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1896R3, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Sep 2014.
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1896, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Working Papers 1464, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program..
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 1896R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Jul 2013.
- Dirk Bergemann & Benjamin A. Brooks & Stephen Morris, 2013. "The Limits of Price Discrimination," Levine's Working Paper Archive 786969000000000776, David K. Levine.
- Dilip Abreu & Markus K. Brunnermeier, 2003.
"Bubbles and Crashes,"
Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 173-204, January.
- Abreu, Dilip & Brunnermeier, Markus K., 2002. "Bubbles and crashes," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24905, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Markus K Brunnermeier, 2002. "Bubbles and Crashes," FMG Discussion Papers dp401, Financial Markets Group.
- Lin, Hsiou-wei & McNichols, Maureen F., 1998. "Underwriting relationships, analysts' earnings forecasts and investment recommendations," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 101-127, February.
- Adem Atmaz & Suleyman Basak, 2018.
"Belief Dispersion in the Stock Market,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 73(3), pages 1225-1279, June.
- Basak, Suleyman & Atmaz, Adem, 2017. "Belief Dispersion in the Stock Market," CEPR Discussion Papers 12056, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Joseba Martinez & Thomas Philippon, 2017.
"Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity,"
Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 84(4), pages 1683-1707.
- Philippon, Thomas & Martinez, Joseba & Faria e castro, Miguel, 2015. "Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity," CEPR Discussion Papers 10614, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Philippon, Thomas & Faria e castro, Miguel & Martinez, Joseba, 2016. "Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity," CEPR Discussion Papers 11408, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Miguel Faria-e-Castro & Joseba Martinez & Thomas Philippon, 2015. "Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity," NBER Working Papers 21201, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Thomas Philippon & Joseba Martinez & Miguel de Faria e Castro, 2015. "Runs versus Lemons: Information Disclosure and Fiscal Capacity," 2015 Meeting Papers 1146, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Darrell Duffie & Piotr Dworczak & Haoxiang Zhu, 2017.
"Benchmarks in Search Markets,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 72(5), pages 1983-2044, October.
- Darrell Duffie & Piotr Dworczak & Haoxiang Zhu, 2014. "Benchmarks in Search Markets," NBER Working Papers 20620, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Piotr Dworczak & Haoxiang Zhu & Darrell Duffie, 2015. "Benchmarks in Search Markets," 2015 Meeting Papers 51, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Duffie, Darrell & Dworczak, Piotr & Zhu, Haoxiang, 2014. "Benchmarks in Search Markets," Research Papers 3190, Stanford University, Graduate School of Business.
- Emir Kamenica & Matthew Gentzkow, 2011.
"Bayesian Persuasion,"
American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(6), pages 2590-2615, October.
- Emir Kamenica & Matthew Gentzkow, 2009. "Bayesian Persuasion," NBER Working Papers 15540, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Emir Kamenica & Matthew Gentzkow, 2009. "Bayesian Persuasion," NajEcon Working Paper Reviews 814577000000000369, www.najecon.org.
- Ina Taneva, 2019.
"Information Design,"
American Economic Journal: Microeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 11(4), pages 151-185, November.
- Ina A Taneva, 2015. "Information Design," Edinburgh School of Economics Discussion Paper Series 256, Edinburgh School of Economics, University of Edinburgh.
- Roland Benabou & Guy Laroque, 1992.
"Using Privileged Information to Manipulate Markets: Insiders, Gurus, and Credibility,"
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(3), pages 921-958.
- Benabou, R. & Laroque, G., 1988. "Using Privileged Information To Manipulate Markets: Insiders, Gurus And Credibility," Papers 19, Princeton, Woodrow Wilson School - Discussion Paper.
- Benabou, R. & Laroque, G., 1989. "Using Privileged Information To Manipulate Markets: Insiders, Gurus, And Credibility," Working papers 513, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
- John R. Conlon, 2004. "Simple Finite Horizon Bubbles Robust to Higher Order Knowledge," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 72(3), pages 927-936, May.
- Chen, Joseph & Hong, Harrison & Stein, Jeremy C., 2001.
"Forecasting crashes: trading volume, past returns, and conditional skewness in stock prices,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 61(3), pages 345-381, September.
- Joseph Chen & Harrison Hong & Jeremy C. Stein, 2000. "Forecasting Crashes: Trading Volume, Past Returns and Conditional Skewness in Stock Prices," NBER Working Papers 7687, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Pierre Monnin, "undated". "Are stock markets really like beauty contests? Empirical evidence of higher order belief's impact on asset prices," IEW - Working Papers 202, Institute for Empirical Research in Economics - University of Zurich.
- Jeffrey Ely & Alexander Frankel & Emir Kamenica, 2015. "Suspense and Surprise," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 123(1), pages 215-260.
- Gehlbach, Scott & Sonin, Konstantin, 2014.
"Government control of the media,"
Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 163-171.
- Scott Gehlbach & Konstantin Sonin, 2008. "Government Control of the Media," Working Papers w0126, New Economic School (NES).
- Scott Gehlbach & Konstantin Sonin, 2008. "Government Control of the Media," Working Papers w0126, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
- Allen F. & Morris S. & Postlewaite A., 1993. "Finite Bubbles with Short Sale Constraints and Asymmetric Information," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 61(2), pages 206-229, December.
- Basak, Suleyman, 2000. "A model of dynamic equilibrium asset pricing with heterogeneous beliefs and extraneous risk," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 24(1), pages 63-95, January.
- Vila, Jean-Luc, 1989. "Simple games of market manipulation," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 29(1), pages 21-26.
- Egan, Daniel & Merkle, Christoph & Weber, Martin, 2014. "Second-order beliefs and the individual investor," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 107(PB), pages 652-666.
- Jose A. Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2003. "Overconfidence and Speculative Bubbles," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 111(6), pages 1183-1219, December.
- Goldstein, Itay & Leitner, Yaron, 2018. "Stress tests and information disclosure," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 34-69.
- Philippe Jehiel, 2015.
"On Transparency in Organizations,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 82(2), pages 736-761.
- Philippe Jehiel, 2010. "On Transparency in Organizations," Levine's Bibliography 661465000000000180, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Philippe Jehiel, 2015. "On Transparency in Organizations," PSE - Labex "OSE-Ouvrir la Science Economique" halshs-01313694, HAL.
- Philippe Jehiel, 2015. "On Transparency in Organizations," Post-Print halshs-01313694, HAL.
- Philippe Jehiel, 2015. "On Transparency in Organizations," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-01313694, HAL.
- Alonso, Ricardo & Câmara, Odilon, 2016.
"Bayesian persuasion with heterogeneous priors,"
Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 672-706.
- Alonso, Ricardo & Câmara, Odilon, 2016. "Bayesian persuasion with heterogeneous priors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 67950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Snehal Banerjee & Ron Kaniel & Ilan Kremer, 2009. "Price Drift as an Outcome of Differences in Higher-Order Beliefs," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 22(9), pages 3707-3734, September.
- Harris, Milton & Raviv, Artur, 1993. "Differences of Opinion Make a Horse Race," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(3), pages 473-506.
- Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson, 2003. "DotCom Mania: The Rise and Fall of Internet Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1113-1137, June.
- Alonso, Ricardo & Câmara, Odilon, 2016.
"Political disagreement and information in elections,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 390-412.
- Alonso, Ricardo & Câmara, Odilon, 2016. "Political disagreement and information in elections," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 68393, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
- Townsend, Robert M, 1983. "Forecasting the Forecasts of Others," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 91(4), pages 546-588, August.
- Harrison Hong & Jeffrey D. Kubik, 2003. "Analyzing the Analysts: Career Concerns and Biased Earnings Forecasts," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(1), pages 313-351, February.
- Itay Goldstein & Chong Huang, 2016. "Bayesian Persuasion in Coordination Games," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(5), pages 592-596, May.
- Eli Ofek & Matthew Richardson, 2003. "DotCom Mania: The Rise and Fall of Internet Stock Prices," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(3), pages 1113-1138, June.
- Franklin Allen & Stephen Morris & Hyun Song Shin, 2006. "Beauty Contests and Iterated Expectations in Asset Markets," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 19(3), pages 719-752.
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Sara Negrelli, 2018. "Bubbles and Persuasion with Second Order Uncertainty," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1876, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
- Wei Xiong, 2013. "Bubbles, Crises, and Heterogeneous Beliefs," NBER Working Papers 18905, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Brunnermeier, Markus K. & Oehmke, Martin, 2013.
"Bubbles, Financial Crises, and Systemic Risk,"
Handbook of the Economics of Finance, in: G.M. Constantinides & M. Harris & R. M. Stulz (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Finance, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1221-1288,
Elsevier.
- Markus K. Brunnermeier & Martin Oehmke, 2012. "Bubbles, Financial Crises, and Systemic Risk," NBER Working Papers 18398, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- John R. Conlon, 2015.
"Should Central Banks Burst Bubbles? Some Microeconomic Issues,"
Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(582), pages 141-161, February.
- John R. Conlon, 2008. "Should Central Banks Burst Bubbles? Some Microeconomic Issues," Levine's Working Paper Archive 122247000000002330, David K. Levine.
- Hong, Harrison & Scheinkman, José & Xiong, Wei, 2008.
"Advisors and asset prices: A model of the origins of bubbles,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 268-287, August.
- Harrison Hong & Jose A. Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2007. "Advisors and Asset Prices: A Model of the Origins of Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 13504, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2019.
"Information Design: A Unified Perspective,"
Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 57(1), pages 44-95, March.
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2075R2, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Nov 2017.
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Working Papers 089_2017, Princeton University, Department of Economics, Econometric Research Program..
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2075R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2017.
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2075, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
- Dirk Bergemann & Stephen Morris, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2075R3, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Mar 2018.
- Bergemann, Dirk & Morris, Stephen, 2017. "Information Design: A Unified Perspective," CEPR Discussion Papers 11867, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- John Conlon, 2005. "Should Central Banks Burst Bubbles?," Game Theory and Information 0508007, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Zhang, Mu & Zheng, Jie, 2017. "A robust reference-dependent model for speculative bubbles," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 232-258.
- Kai, Guo & Conlon, John R., 2007. "Why Bubble-Bursting Is Unpredictable: Welfare Effects Of Anti-Bubble Policy When Central Banks Make Mistakes," MPRA Paper 5927, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Carlos J. Perez & Manuel Santos, 2017. "On the Dynamics of Speculation in a Model of Bubbles and Manias," Working Papers 2017-02, University of Miami, Department of Economics.
- Greenwood, Robin & Shleifer, Andrei & You, Yang, 2019.
"Bubbles for Fama,"
Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 20-43.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer & Yang You, 2017. "Bubbles for Fama," Working Paper 504391, Harvard University OpenScholar.
- Robin Greenwood & Andrei Shleifer & Yang You, 2017. "Bubbles for Fama," NBER Working Papers 23191, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Tibor Neugebauer & Sascha Füllbrunn, 2013. "Deflating Bubbles in Experimental Asset Markets: Comparative Statics of Margin Regulations," LSF Research Working Paper Series 13-14, Luxembourg School of Finance, University of Luxembourg.
- Angeletos, G.-M. & Lian, C., 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & Harald Uhlig (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 1065-1240, Elsevier.
- George-Marios Angeletos & Chen Lian, 2016. "Incomplete Information in Macroeconomics: Accommodating Frictions in Coordination," NBER Working Papers 22297, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Harrison Hong & José Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2006.
"Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles,"
Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 61(3), pages 1073-1117, June.
- Harrison Hong & Jose Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2005. "Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles," NBER Working Papers 11367, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Cremers, Martijn & Yan, Hongjun, 2016.
"Uncertainty and Valuations,"
Critical Finance Review, now publishers, vol. 5(1), pages 85-128, May.
- Martijn Cremers & Hongjun Yan, 2009. "Uncertainty and Valuations," Yale School of Management Working Papers amz2383, Yale School of Management, revised 01 May 2009.
- Arturo Bris & William Goetzmann & Ning Zhu, 2004. "Efficiency and the Bear: Short Sales and Markets around the World," Yale School of Management Working Papers ysm327, Yale School of Management, revised 01 Feb 2005.
- Bogan, Vicki, 2009. "Bubbles or convenience yields? A theoretical explanation with evidence from technology company equity carve-outs," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 248-281, March.
- Douglas R. Emery, 2022. "Negative bubbles and the market for “dreams”: “Lemons” in the looking glass," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 45(1), pages 5-16, March.
- Harrison Hong & Jose Scheinkman & Wei Xiong, 2005. "Asset Float and Speculative Bubbles," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000861, UCLA Department of Economics.
More about this item
Keywords
Bubbles; Heterogenous priors; Higher-order beliefs; Market manipulation; Bayesian persuasion;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C73 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Game Theory and Bargaining Theory - - - Stochastic and Dynamic Games; Evolutionary Games
- D82 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Asymmetric and Private Information; Mechanism Design
- D83 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Search; Learning; Information and Knowledge; Communication; Belief; Unawareness
- D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
- G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
- G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:gamebe:v:120:y:2020:i:c:p:67-85. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/622836 .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.