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Anatomy of a bail-in

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  • Conlon, Thomas
  • Cotter, John

Abstract

To mitigate potential contagion from future banking crises, the European Commission recently proposed a framework which would provide for the bail-in of bank creditors in the event of failure. In this study, we examine this framework retrospectively in the context of failed European banks during the global financial crisis. Empirical findings suggest that equity and subordinated bond holders would have been the main losers from the €535 billion impairment losses realized by failed European banks. Losses attributed to senior debt holders would, on aggregate, have been proportionally small, while no losses would have been imposed on depositors. Cross-country analysis, incorporating stress-tests, reveals a divergence of outcomes with subordinated debt holders wiped out in a number of countries, while senior debt holders of Greek, Austrian and Irish banks would have required bail-in.

Suggested Citation

  • Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John, 2014. "Anatomy of a bail-in," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 257-263.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finsta:v:15:y:2014:i:c:p:257-263
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2014.04.001
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    2. Olesya V. Kononenko & Marina V. Chudinovskikh, 2018. "Comparative Analysis of the Depositor Rights’ Protection Systems in the Russian Federation and the Republic of Belarus," Journal of New Economy, Ural State University of Economics, vol. 19(5), pages 32-43, October.
    3. Lorenzo Pandolfi, 2018. "Bail-in vs. Bailout: a False Dilemma?," CSEF Working Papers 499, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    4. Lorenzo Gai & Federica Ielasi & Martina Mainini, 2021. "The Impact of Bail-in Risk on Bank Bondholders," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 15(9), pages 105-105, July.
    5. Cutura, Jannic Alexander, 2021. "Debt holder monitoring and implicit guarantees: Did the BRRD improve market discipline?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 54(C).
    6. Francis, Bill B. & Hasan, Iftekhar & Sun, Xian & Wu, Qiang, 2016. "CEO political preference and corporate tax sheltering," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 37-53.
    7. Corbet, Shaen & Cumming, Douglas J. & Hou, Yang (Greg) & Hu, Yang & Oxley, Les, 2022. "Have crisis-induced banking supports influenced European bank performance, resilience and price discovery?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    8. Avino, Davide E. & Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John, 2019. "Credit default swaps as indicators of bank financial distress," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 132-139.
    9. Giuliana, Raffaele, 2022. "Fluctuating bail-in expectations and effects on market discipline, risk-taking and cost of capital," ESRB Working Paper Series 133, European Systemic Risk Board.
    10. Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato de & Silva, Thiago Christiano & Almeida, Carlos Eduardo de, 2019. "Bailing in Banks: costs and benefits," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
    11. Thomas Conlon & John Cotter, 2019. "Subordinate Resolution ‐‐ An Empirical Analysis of European Union Subsidiary Banks," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 57(4), pages 857-876, July.
    12. Dr. Martin Indergand & Gabriela Hrasko, 2021. "Does the market believe in loss-absorbing bank debt?," Working Papers 2021-13, Swiss National Bank.
    13. Hüser, Anne-Caroline & Hałaj, Grzegorz & Kok, Christoffer & Perales, Cristian & van der Kraaij, Anton, 2018. "The systemic implications of bail-in: A multi-layered network approach," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 81-97.
    14. David G. Mayes, 2017. "Top-down restructuring of markets and institutions: the Nordic banking crises," Journal of Banking Regulation, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 18(3), pages 213-232, July.
    15. Bessler, Wolfgang & Conlon, Thomas & Huan, Xing, 2019. "Does corporate hedging enhance shareholder value? A meta-analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 222-232.
    16. Cutura, Jannic Alexander, 2020. "Debt holder monitoring and implicit guarantees: did the BRRD improve market discipline?," ESRB Working Paper Series 111, European Systemic Risk Board.
    17. Thorsten Beck & Samuel Da-Rocha-Lopes & André F Silva & Francesca Cornelli, 2021. "Sharing the Pain? Credit Supply and Real Effects of Bank Bail-ins [High wage workers and high wage firms]," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 34(4), pages 1747-1788.
    18. Cutura, Jannic Alexander, 2018. "Debt holder monitoring and implicit guarantees: Did the BRRD improve market discipline?," SAFE Working Paper Series 232, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
    19. Farmer, J. Doyne & Goodhart, C. A. E. & Kleinnijenhuis, Alissa M., 2021. "Systemic implications of the bail-in design," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 111903, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Paola Leone & Pasqualina Porretta & Luca Riccetti, 2021. "European Significant Bank Stock Market Volatility: Is there a Bail-In Effect?," International Journal of Business and Management, Canadian Center of Science and Education, vol. 14(5), pages 1-32, July.
    21. Opeoluwa Banwo & Paul Harrald & Francesca Medda, 2019. "Understanding the consequences of diversification on financial stability," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 14(2), pages 273-292, June.
    22. Conlon, Thomas & Cotter, John & Molyneux, Philip, 2020. "Beyond common equity: The influence of secondary capital on bank insolvency risk," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 47(C).
    23. Benczur, Peter & Cannas, Giuseppina & Cariboni, Jessica & Di Girolamo, Francesca & Maccaferri, Sara & Petracco Giudici, Marco, 2017. "Evaluating the effectiveness of the new EU bank regulatory framework: A farewell to bail-out?," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 207-223.

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