IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v81y2025ics1544612325008013.html

Industry-level climate policy risk exposure and corporate ESG performance

Author

Listed:
  • Sun, Chentong
  • Pan, Chu
  • Xu, Nuo

Abstract

This study employs a time-varying parameter regression with stochastic volatility (TVP-SV) model to creatively measure climate policy risk exposure at the industry level across 31 industrial sectors in China. The results indicate that climate policy risk exposure exhibits dynamic changes and heterogeneity across industries. Using 2009–2023 data from A-share listed companies, we also examined corporate ESG responses to climate policy risk exposure, revealing that increases in exposure significantly enhance ESG performance, with stronger effects observed in the central and western regions and among low-tech, heavily polluting firms.

Suggested Citation

  • Sun, Chentong & Pan, Chu & Xu, Nuo, 2025. "Industry-level climate policy risk exposure and corporate ESG performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:81:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325008013
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.107542
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612325008013
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.107542?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zacharias Sautner & Laurence Van Lent & Grigory Vilkov & Ruishen Zhang, 2023. "Firm‐Level Climate Change Exposure," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 78(3), pages 1449-1498, June.
    2. Sayema Sultana & Norhayah Zulkifli & Dalilawati Zainal, 2018. "Environmental, Social and Governance (ESG) and Investment Decision in Bangladesh," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(6), pages 1-19, June.
    3. Guo, Xin & Pang, Weiyan, 2025. "The impact of digital transformation on corporate ESG performance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    4. Duc Duy Nguyen & Steven Ongena & Shusen Qi & Vathunyoo Sila, 2022. "Climate Change Risk and the Cost of Mortgage Credit [Does climate change affect real estate prices? Only if you believe in it]," Review of Finance, European Finance Association, vol. 26(6), pages 1509-1549.
    5. Wang, Jianling & Ma, Jia & Li, Xiuling & Wang, Chen, 2025. "Nonlinear impact of economic policy uncertainty on corporate ESG performance: Regional, industrial and managerial perspectives," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Javadi, Siamak & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2021. "The impact of climate change on the cost of bank loans," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C).
    7. Jouchi Nakajima, 2011. "Time-Varying Parameter VAR Model with Stochastic Volatility: An Overview of Methodology and Empirical Applications," Monetary and Economic Studies, Institute for Monetary and Economic Studies, Bank of Japan, vol. 29, pages 107-142, November.
    8. Bai, Dongbei & Du, Lizhao & Xu, Yang & Abbas, Shujaat, 2023. "Climate policy uncertainty and corporate green innovation: Evidence from Chinese A-share listed industrial corporations," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 127(PB).
    9. Cui, Xin & Wang, Chunfeng & Liao, Jing & Fang, Zhenming & Cheng, Feiyang, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty exposure and corporate innovation investment: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Mengjun Huo & Chao Li & Renhuai Liu, 2024. "Climate policy uncertainty and corporate green innovation performance: From the perspectives of organizational inertia and management internal characteristics," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(1), pages 34-53, January.
    11. Bali, Turan G. & Brown, Stephen J. & Tang, Yi, 2017. "Is economic uncertainty priced in the cross-section of stock returns?," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 126(3), pages 471-489.
    12. Ning Zhu & Xiao Zhang & Xiaohang Ren & Lan Wang, 2023. "The Response of Corporate Innovation to Climate Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Assessment Policy and Management (JEAPM), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 25(02), pages 1-29, June.
    13. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 2015. "A five-factor asset pricing model," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(1), pages 1-22.
    14. Fama, Eugene F. & French, Kenneth R., 1993. "Common risk factors in the returns on stocks and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(1), pages 3-56, February.
    15. He, Feng & Duan, Lin & Cao, Yi & Wen, Shuyang, 2024. "Green credit policy and corporate climate risk exposure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. Qing Li & Hongyu Shan & Yuehua Tang & Vincent Yao, 2024. "Corporate Climate Risk: Measurements and Responses," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 37(6), pages 1778-1830.
    17. Sun, Guanglin & Fang, Jiming & Li, Ting & Ai, Yongfang, 2024. "Effects of climate policy uncertainty on green innovation in Chinese enterprises," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    18. Hailiang Zou & Ruijing Wang & Guoyou Qi, 2023. "The Response of CSR to Economic Policy Uncertainty: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-19, August.
    19. Tarek A. Hassan & Stephan Hollander & Laurence Van Lent & Ahmed Tahoun, 2024. "The Global Impact of Brexit Uncertainty," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 413-458, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Chengcheng & Zhang, Mingrui & Lin, Yu-En & Li, Qing, 2026. "Brand capital development, climate risk, and corporate investment efficiency," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jiao, Anqi & Sun, Ran & Ren, Honglin, 2025. "Navigating climate policy: Corporate lobbying strategies in response to intensified climate risk exposure," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    2. Bardos, Katsiaryna Salavei & Mishra, Dev R. & Somé, Hyacinthe Y., 2025. "Firm-level climate sentiments, climate politics and implied cost of equity capital," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    3. Liu, Chengcheng & Zhang, Mingrui & Lin, Yu-En & Li, Qing, 2026. "Brand capital development, climate risk, and corporate investment efficiency," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    4. Piero Basaglia & Clara Berestycki & Stefano Carattini & Antoine Dechezleprêtre & Tobias Kruse, 2025. "Climate Policy Uncertainty and Firms' and Investors' Behavior," CESifo Working Paper Series 11782, CESifo.
    5. Li, Wanli & Luo, Dan & Cheng, Teng-Yuan, 2025. "Strategy choices in strategic risk-taking: Does climate risk matter?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    6. Chen, Yiyang & Mamon, Rogemar & Spagnolo, Fabio & Spagnolo, Nicola, 2025. "Stock market returns and climate risk in the U.S," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    7. Cepni, Oguzhan & Şensoy, Ahmet & Yılmaz, Muhammed Hasan, 2024. "Climate change exposure and cost of equity," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    8. He, Feng & Ren, Xingzi & Wang, Yueren & Lei, Xingfan, 2025. "Climate risk and corporate bond credit spreads," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
    9. Cheng, Feiyang & Wang, Chunfeng & Cui, Xin & Wu, Ji & He, Feng, 2021. "Economic policy uncertainty exposure and stock price bubbles: Evidence from China," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
    10. Chen, Sichong & Xu, Qiyuan & Zeng, Jingjing & Zhao, Yunfeng, 2025. "Ark amidst floods: Evidence from personal credit at a Chinese bank," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    11. Shi, Huai-Long & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "Factor volatility spillover and its implications on factor premia," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    12. Rahim, Noraimah Farah & Sulong, Zunaidah & Abdullah, Mohammad & Wali Ullah, G. M., 2025. "Geopolitical risk and firm climate change risk," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PD).
    13. Hadhri, Sinda & Younus, Mehak & Naeem, Muhammad Abubakr & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2025. "Listening to the Market: Music sentiment and cryptocurrency returns," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    14. Wei, Xin & Liu, Xi & Zhang, Xueyong, 2022. "Shadow banking and the cross-section of stock returns," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    15. Alharbi, Samar S. & Tabash, Mosab I. & Farooq, Umar & Issa, Suzan Sameer, 2025. "How does climate policy uncertainty determine green innovation adoption? New perspectives from the BRICS," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 31(C).
    16. Murad, S.M. Woahid & Pathan, Shams & Durand, Robert B. & Zheng, Chen, 2025. "Understanding Bank-Level Uncertainty: New insights into banking activity and its macroeconomic impacts," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    17. Chen, Qi-An & Li, Huashi & Lin, Jianyi & Yan, Youliang, 2023. "Asset pricing with two types of heterogeneous consumption volatilities in mind: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    18. He, Feng & Duan, Lin & Lucey, Brian & Hao, Jing, 2025. "Biodiversity risk or climate risk? Which factor affects corporate ESG rating divergence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    19. Basha, Shabeen Afsar & Benkraiem, Ramzi & Ben-Nasr, Hamdi & Masum, Abdullah-Al, 2025. "Does political risk exacerbate climate risk? Firm-level evidence," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 104(PA).
    20. Reboredo, Juan C. & Ugolini, Andrea, 2022. "Climate transition risk, profitability and stock prices," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • Q56 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Environment and Development; Environment and Trade; Sustainability; Environmental Accounts and Accounting; Environmental Equity; Population Growth

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:81:y:2025:i:c:s1544612325008013. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.