IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v56y2023ics1544612323004609.html

SAFE Artificial Intelligence in finance

Author

Listed:
  • Giudici, Paolo
  • Raffinetti, Emanuela

Abstract

Financial technologies, boosted by the availability of machine learning models, are expanding in all areas of finance: from payments (peer to peer lending) to asset management (robot advisors) to payments (blockchain coins). Machine learning models typically achieve a high accuracy at the expense of an insufficient explainability. Moreover, according to the proposed regulations, high-risk AI applications based on machine learning must be “trustworthy”, and comply with a set of mandatory requirements, such as Sustainability and Fairness. To date there are no standardised metrics that can ensure an overall assessment of the trustworthiness of AI applications in finance. To fill the gap, we propose a set of integrated statistical methods, based on the Lorenz Zonoid tool, that can be used to assess and monitor over time whether an AI application is trustworthy. Specifically, the methods will measure Sustainability (in terms of robustness with respect to anomalous data), Accuracy (in terms of predictive accuracy), Fairness (in terms of prediction bias across different population groups) and Explainability (in terms of human understanding and oversight). We apply our proposal to an easily downloadable dataset, that concerns financial prices, to make our proposal easily reproducible.

Suggested Citation

  • Giudici, Paolo & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2023. "SAFE Artificial Intelligence in finance," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323004609
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2023.104088
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1544612323004609
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2023.104088?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Philippe Bracke & Anupam Datta & Carsten Jung & Shayak Sen, 2019. "Machine learning explainability in finance: an application to default risk analysis," Bank of England working papers 816, Bank of England.
    2. Diebold, Francis X & Mariano, Roberto S, 2002. "Comparing Predictive Accuracy," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 20(1), pages 134-144, January.
    3. Giudici, Paolo & Abu-Hashish, Iman, 2019. "What determines bitcoin exchange prices? A network VAR approach," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 309-318.
    4. David J. Hand & Heikki Mannila & Padhraic Smyth, 2001. "Principles of Data Mining," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 1, volume 1, number 026208290x, December.
    5. Lerman, Robert I. & Yitzhaki, Shlomo, 1984. "A note on the calculation and interpretation of the Gini index," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(3-4), pages 363-368.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Giudici, Paolo & Piergallini, Alessandro & Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2024. "Explainable Artificial Intelligence methods for financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 655(C).
    2. Cao, Jiawei & Tang, Haibin & Zhou, Yang, 2025. "Pathways of artificial intelligence applications, financial resilience, and rural revitalization," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    3. Theo Berger, 2025. "On the information content of explainable artificial intelligence for quantitative approaches in finance," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 47(1), pages 177-203, March.
    4. Kiavash, Parinaz & Tanaltay, Altug & Tabatabaei, Raha Akhavan, 2026. "Can social media predict demand in humanitarian crises? A case study of the 2023 Türkiye earthquake," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    5. Tigges, Maximilian & Mestwerdt, Sönke & Tschirner, Sebastian & Mauer, René, 2024. "Who gets the money? A qualitative analysis of fintech lending and credit scoring through the adoption of AI and alternative data," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    6. Bagheri, Maryamsadat & Giudici, Paolo, 2025. "Accurate, Secure and Explainable bitcoin forecasting," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 678(C).
    7. Amendola, Alessandra & Bernardelli, Adelaide Emma & Giudici, Paolo, 2025. "Measuring inequality in the adoption of ESG scores by small and medium enterprises," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 103(C).
    8. Gao, Xiangming & Ji, Xinliang & Wang, Rong & Yu, Jian, 2025. "The effect of artificial intelligence on energy transition: Evidence from China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 147(C).
    9. Levantesi, Susanna & Piscopo, Gabriella & Roviello, Alba, 2025. "Cryptocurrency in global dynamics: Analyzing the Crypto Volatility Index and financial markets with machine learning," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 674(C).
    10. Andrés Alonso-Robisco & José Manuel Carbó, 2025. "Should We Trust the Credit Decisions Provided by Machine Learning Models?," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 66(5), pages 4245-4274, November.
    11. Su, Huishui & Jiang, I-Ming & Liu, Duan, 2025. "Detecting financial fraud risk using machine learning: Evidence based on different categories and matching samples," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    12. Indu Rani & Neetu Verma & Chandan Kumar Verma, 2025. "A Rigorous Statistical Comparison of Deep Learning Models for US Treasury Yield Prediction," SN Operations Research Forum, Springer, vol. 6(3), pages 1-20, September.
    13. Gao, Hongming & Zhu, Hui & Ma, Haiying, 2024. "Peer effect and funding success: Analyzing friendship networks in online credit markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    14. Xiao, Fenghua & Wang, Jinbo & Li, Huijun & Yang, Juan, 2024. "Population aging and corporate human capital restructuring," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 67(PA).
    15. Zhang, Jing & Piao, Ming, 2025. "The impact of artificial intelligence on firms' financialization: The mediating effects of labor productivity," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    16. Perdana, Arif & Arifin, Saru & Quadrianto, Novi, 2025. "Algorithmic trust and regulation: Governance, ethics, legal, and social implications blueprint for Indonesia's central banking," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
    17. Samet Gunay & Emrah Ismail Cevik & Dávid Zoltán Szabó, 2025. "Engagement of true intelligence in financial forecasting: interactions of blockchained sectors and artificial intelligence," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 11(1), pages 1-28, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Paolo Giudici & Emanuela Raffinetti, 2020. "Lorenz Model Selection," Journal of Classification, Springer;The Classification Society, vol. 37(3), pages 754-768, October.
    2. Babaei, Golnoosh & Giudici, Paolo & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2023. "Explainable FinTech lending," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 125.
    3. Giudici, Paolo & Gramegna, Alex & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2023. "Machine Learning Classification Model Comparison," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 87(PB).
    4. Dumitrescu, Elena & Hué, Sullivan & Hurlin, Christophe & Tokpavi, Sessi, 2022. "Machine learning for credit scoring: Improving logistic regression with non-linear decision-tree effects," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 297(3), pages 1178-1192.
    5. Corbet, Shaen & Lucey, Brian & Urquhart, Andrew & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2019. "Cryptocurrencies as a financial asset: A systematic analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 182-199.
    6. Yili Chen & Congdong Li & Han Wang, 2022. "Big Data and Predictive Analytics for Business Intelligence: A Bibliographic Study (2000–2021)," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-20, September.
    7. Tiago E. Pratas & Filipe R. Ramos & Lihki Rubio, 2023. "Forecasting bitcoin volatility: exploring the potential of deep learning," Eurasian Economic Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 13(2), pages 285-305, June.
    8. Hauzenberger, Niko & Huber, Florian & Klieber, Karin & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2025. "Bayesian neural networks for macroeconomic analysis," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 249(PC).
    9. Anatoly A. Peresetsky & Ruslan I. Yakubov, 2017. "Autocorrelation in an unobservable global trend: does it help to forecast market returns?," International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 7(1/2), pages 152-169.
    10. Kelly Burns & Imad Moosa, 2017. "Demystifying the Meese–Rogoff puzzle: structural breaks or measures of forecasting accuracy?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(48), pages 4897-4910, October.
    11. Hao Chen & Qiulan Wan & Yurong Wang, 2014. "Refined Diebold-Mariano Test Methods for the Evaluation of Wind Power Forecasting Models," Energies, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-14, July.
    12. Antonello D’Agostino & Kieran Mcquinn & Karl Whelan, 2012. "Are Some Forecasters Really Better Than Others?," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 44(4), pages 715-732, June.
    13. Giudici, Paolo & Piergallini, Alessandro & Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Raffinetti, Emanuela, 2024. "Explainable Artificial Intelligence methods for financial time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 655(C).
    14. Quentin Wodon, 2000. "Microdeterminants of consumption, poverty, growth, and inequality in Bangladesh," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(10), pages 1337-1352.
    15. Christophe Chorro & Florian Ielpo & Benoît Sévi, 2017. "The contribution of jumps to forecasting the density of returns," Post-Print halshs-01442618, HAL.
    16. Carlo Altavilla & Paul De Grauwe, 2010. "Forecasting and combining competing models of exchange rate determination," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(27), pages 3455-3480.
    17. Matsumura, Marco & Moreira, Ajax & Vicente, José, 2011. "Forecasting the yield curve with linear factor models," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 20(5), pages 237-243.
    18. Castro, Luciano de & Galvao, Antonio F. & Kim, Jeong Yeol & Montes-Rojas, Gabriel & Olmo, Jose, 2022. "Experiments on portfolio selection: A comparison between quantile preferences and expected utility decision models," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
    19. Tom Boot & Bart Keijsers, 2025. "Diffusion index forecasts under weaker loadings: PCA, ridge regression, and random projections," Papers 2506.09575, arXiv.org.
    20. Vitek, Francis, 2006. "Measuring the Stance of Monetary Policy in a Small Open Economy: A Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Approach," MPRA Paper 802, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:56:y:2023:i:c:s1544612323004609. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.