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Cointegration of the prices of gold and silver: RALS-based evidence

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  • Pierdzioch, Christian
  • Risse, Marian
  • Rohloff, Sebastian

Abstract

Much significant research has been done to study the cointegration link between the prices of gold and silver. Empirical results reported in earlier research suggest that the strength of the cointegration link changed over time, possibly reflecting the impact of bubble-like periods and financial crises. Against this background, a Residual Augmented Least Squares (RALS) test for noncointegration was used to study cointegration of the prices of gold and silver. Application of the RALS test yielded stronger evidence against noncointegration than was obtained based on a standard Dickey–Fuller test, but a cointegration link did not exist during extended periods of time.

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  • Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2015. "Cointegration of the prices of gold and silver: RALS-based evidence," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 15(C), pages 133-137.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:15:y:2015:i:c:p:133-137
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2015.09.003
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    Cited by:

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    4. Berhan ÇOBAN & Esin FİRUZAN, 2019. "Convergence and Cointegration Analysis under Structural Breaks: Application of Turkey Tourism Markets," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 27(39).
    5. Andria C. Evripidou & David I. Harvey & Stephen J. Leybourne & Robert Sollis, 2022. "Testing for Co‐explosive Behaviour in Financial Time Series," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(3), pages 624-650, June.
    6. Kucher, Oleg & McCoskey, Suzanne, 2017. "The long-run relationship between precious metal prices and the business cycle," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 263-275.
    7. Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian & Rohloff, Sebastian, 2016. "Are precious metals a hedge against exchange-rate movements? An empirical exploration using bayesian additive regression trees," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 27-38.
    8. Vigne, Samuel A. & Lucey, Brian M. & O’Connor, Fergal A. & Yarovaya, Larisa, 2017. "The financial economics of white precious metals — A survey," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 292-308.
    9. Pradhan, Ashis Kumar & Mishra, Bibhuti Ranjan & Tiwari, Aviral Kumar & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2020. "Macroeconomic factors and frequency domain causality between Gold and Silver returns in India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    10. Salisu, Afees A. & Ndako, Umar B. & Oloko, Tirimisiyu F., 2019. "Assessing the inflation hedging of gold and palladium in OECD countries," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 357-377.
    11. Zhong, Wanxing & Kong, Rui & Chen, Guang, 2019. "Gold prices fluctuation of co-movement forecast between China and Russia," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 218-230.
    12. Zhu, Huiming & Peng, Cheng & You, Wanhai, 2016. "Quantile behaviour of cointegration between silver and gold prices," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 19(C), pages 119-125.
    13. Yaya, OlaOluwa S. & Lukman, Adewale F. & Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2022. "Persistence and volatility spillovers of bitcoin price to gold and silver prices," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Sami, Janesh, 2021. "Has the long-run relationship between gold and silver prices really disappeared? Evidence from an emerging market," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
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    16. Christian Pierdzioch & Marian Risse, 2020. "Forecasting precious metal returns with multivariate random forests," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1167-1184, March.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Gold price; Silver price; Cointegration; RALS;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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