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Implied volatility indices: A review and extension in the Turkish case

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  • Sensoy, Ahmet
  • Omole, John

Abstract

We re-visit the model-free methodology of the new VIX, and review how its counterparts are estimated empirically across the world. Then, we modify its parameter selection procedure for it to be compatible with the microstructure characteristics of emerging derivatives markets. Applying this approach on Turkish market data, we introduce VBI; the implied volatility index of Borsa Istanbul. Accordingly, (i) VBI is a strong predictor of the future realized volatility, (ii) it is significantly correlated with Turkey's own financial indicators, but not with many global financial indicators, (iii) there is an implied volatility spillover from US equity market to Borsa Istanbul, but not the other way around.

Suggested Citation

  • Sensoy, Ahmet & Omole, John, 2018. "Implied volatility indices: A review and extension in the Turkish case," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 151-161.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:60:y:2018:i:c:p:151-161
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2018.08.006
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    Cited by:

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    2. Fassas, Athanasios P. & Siriopoulos, Costas, 2021. "Implied volatility indices – A review," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 303-329.
    3. Bahoo, Salman & Alon, Ilan & Paltrinieri, Andrea, 2020. "Sovereign wealth funds: Past, present and future," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    4. Tuncer Yılmaz & Bülent Yıldız, 2022. "Yatırımcıların Risk İştahı Endeksi İle Korku Endeksleri Arasındaki İlişki: Türkiye’de ARDL İle Ampirik Bir Uygulama," Journal of Research in Economics, Politics & Finance, Ersan ERSOY, vol. 7(3), pages 646-676.
    5. Yue, Tian & Ruan, Xinfeng & Gehricke, Sebastian & Zhang, Jin E., 2023. "The volatility index and volatility risk premium in China," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 91(C), pages 40-55.
    6. Sensoy, Ahmet & Omole, John, 2022. "Information content of order imbalance in the index options market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 418-432.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VIX; Implied volatility; Options market; Emerging markets; Market microstructure;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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