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Implied volatility transmissions between Thai and selected advanced stock markets

Author

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  • Thakolsri, Supachok
  • Sethapramote, Yuthana
  • Jiranyakul, Komain

Abstract

This paper investigates the impacts of changes in the U. S. implied volatility on the changes in implied volatilities of the Euro and Thai stock markets. For that purpose, volatilities implicit in stock index option prices from the U. S., Euro and Thai stock markets are analyzed using the standard Granger causality test, impulse response analysis, and variance decompositions. The results found in this study suggest that the U. S. stock market is the leading source of volatility transmissions since the changes in implied volatility in the U. S. stock market are transmitted to the Euro and Thai stock markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Thakolsri, Supachok & Sethapramote, Yuthana & Jiranyakul, Komain, 2015. "Implied volatility transmissions between Thai and selected advanced stock markets," MPRA Paper 65901, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:65901
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/65901/1/MPRA_paper_65901.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jeff Fleming & Barbara Ostdiek & Robert E. Whaley, 1995. "Predicting stock market volatility: A new measure," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 15(3), pages 265-302, May.
    2. Nikkinen, Jussi & Sahlstrom, Petri, 2004. "International transmission of uncertainty implicit in stock index option prices," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15.
    3. Chiang, Thomas C. & Jeon, Bang Nam & Li, Huimin, 2007. "Dynamic correlation analysis of financial contagion: Evidence from Asian markets," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1206-1228, November.
    4. Bollerslev, Tim & Zhou, Hao, 2006. "Volatility puzzles: a simple framework for gauging return-volatility regressions," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 123-150.
    5. Kenourgios, Dimitris, 2014. "On financial contagion and implied market volatility," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 21-30.
    6. Ihsan Ullah Badshah, 2013. "Quantile Regression Analysis of the Asymmetric Return‐Volatility Relation," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 235-265, March.
    7. Costas Siriopoulos & Athanasios Fassas, 2013. "Dynamic relations of uncertainty expectations: a conditional assessment of implied volatility indices," Review of Derivatives Research, Springer, vol. 16(3), pages 233-266, October.
    8. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    9. Yue Peng & Wing Ng, 2012. "Analysing financial contagion and asymmetric market dependence with volatility indices via copulas," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 8(1), pages 49-74, February.
    10. Blair, Bevan J. & Poon, Ser-Huang & Taylor, Stephen J., 2001. "Forecasting S&P 100 volatility: the incremental information content of implied volatilities and high-frequency index returns," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 105(1), pages 5-26, November.
    11. Granger, C W J, 1969. "Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-Spectral Methods," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 37(3), pages 424-438, July.
    12. Christensen, B. J. & Prabhala, N. R., 1998. "The relation between implied and realized volatility," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(2), pages 125-150, November.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Supachok Thakolsri & Yuthana Sethapramote & Komain Jiranyakul, 2016. "Relationship of the Change in Implied Volatility with the Underlying Equity Index Return in Thailand," Economic Research Guardian, Weissberg Publishing, vol. 6(2), pages 74-86, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Stock index option prices; implied volatility; causality; impulse response functions; variance decompositions;

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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