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Do stylized facts of equity-based volatility indices apply to fixed-income volatility indices? Evidence from the US Treasury market

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  • López, Raquel

Abstract

In this paper, we examine whether widely documented properties of equity-based volatility indices apply to US Treasury bond volatility indices (TBVIXs). We calculate TBVIXs in a model-free way using the market prices of five-, ten- and 30-year Treasury futures options over a sample of more than 20years. The empirical findings of this study reveal that changes in TBVIXs are positively correlated with changes in both Treasury yield rates and US non-fixed income and European equity-based volatility indices. Our analysis also shows that changes in Treasury yield rates Granger cause changes in TBVIXs and that past changes in TBVIXs help explain current changes in equity-based volatility indices (and vice versa). Finally, we find that TBVIXs fall following scheduled macroeconomic news announcements and that the response of TBVIXs to news releases depends to some extent on the magnitude and sign of the surprise in the announcement. This study's findings have implications for volatility risk management using the recently listed futures on the Chicago Board of Options Exchange's ten-year Treasury note volatility index.

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  • López, Raquel, 2015. "Do stylized facts of equity-based volatility indices apply to fixed-income volatility indices? Evidence from the US Treasury market," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 292-303.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:42:y:2015:i:c:p:292-303
    DOI: 10.1016/j.irfa.2015.08.005
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Implied volatility; Volatility index; Treasury; Implied volatility spillovers; News announcements;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading

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